#FOMCMeeting Here’s a clear and concise summary of the #FOMCMeeting taking place June 17–18, 2025:

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🔍 Meeting Highlights

Interest Rates Held – The Federal Reserve is expected to keep the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50%—marking the fourth consecutive hold—as it monitors economic risks before making further moves .

**“Wait and See” Strategy** – Fed members are weighing geopolitical issues (Middle East tensions, tariffs, oil volatility) that could fuel inflation, hence adopting caution .

Dot Plot Adjustments – Projections in the updated dot plot likely show fewer rate cuts for 2025, down to one from the previously expected two, based on evolving inflation and tariff pressures .

Economic Data Mixed – While inflation is cooling toward the Fed’s 2% goal and unemployment (~4.2%) remains stable, weak retail sales and industrial output signal a slowdown .

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What to Watch Tomorrow (June 18)

Rate Decision & Press Conference – Official announcement likely at 2 p.m. EST (or 11:45 p.m. local Kathmandu time), followed by Chair Powell’s remarks .

Summary of Economic Projections – Expect cautious dot plot guidance and potential first rate cut pushed to September or later .

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Bottom Line:

The Fed is standing pat for now, navigating a tricky landscape of inflation risks tied to tariffs and global instability. Markets will keenly follow Powell’s forward guidance and the updated projections to assess when rate cuts might actually begin.

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