📅 Crypto Market Outlook – June 18, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC): Trading around $104.7K, down ~2.1% on the day. It has rebounded from intraday lows near $103.6K but remains under pressure below the mid‐$107K resistance .

Ethereum (ETH): Sitting at $2,521.6, down ~1.9%. ETH bounced off ~$2,461 support but failed to reclaim the $2,600–$2,650 zone .

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🔍 Key Drivers Today

Fed’s FOMC meeting (June 18): Market eyes possible dovish signals. If no rate hike occurs and tone softens, BTC could break above $108K. Hawkish cues may drive BTC toward $100K–$103K .

Geopolitical calm?: Reduced tensions in the Middle East may support risk assets and provide downside protection near $100K .

Institutional buying: Continued BlackRock and other ETF inflows for BTC strengthen underlying demand .

Stablecoin legislation: U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act on stablecoin regulation—holders like USDT and USDC may benefit, reducing market uncertainty .

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📈 Short-Term Forecast

BTC range: Likely to hover between $106K–$108K, support near $105.3K, resistance at $108.2K . A break above may push toward $109K–110K; a breakdown risks a deeper dip near $103K.

ETH outlook: Consolidation zone between $2,510 and $2,585. A breakout above $2,650 could spark a short squeeze; a drop below $2,510 may test sub-$2,460 levels .

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🧭 What Traders Can Do

1. Monitor FOMC announcements — Position before or after depending on risk appetite.

2. Set alerts at critical levels: BTC at $105K/$108K, ETH at $2,510/$2,650.

3. Adjust portfolio — consider taking profits near top resistance and scaling in near support.

4. Stay updated on stablecoin regulation and ETF inflows — these shape investor confidence.

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