#FOMCMeeting Here’s the latest on the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting:
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📅 When & What
Dates: June 17–18, 2025 (today and tomorrow)
Announcement schedule: Policy decision at 2:00 p.m. EDT (20:00 Brussels), followed by Powell’s press conference at 2:30 p.m. EDT
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🔍 Expectations Going In
No rate change expected: The federal funds rate is anticipated to remain at 4.25–4.50%—a unanimous hold expected with nearly 100% certainty
Key focus: “wait and see” mindset amid mixed inflation signals, tariff uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and resilient employment
Updated projections/dot plot: Markets will look for how many cuts officials foresee in 2025—current median expectation is around two cuts, potentially delayed to September
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⚠️ Key Risks
Tariffs & inflation— Some signs of easing inflation, but risks linger, especially if tariffs spike
Geopolitical instability— Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel‑Iran) may push up oil prices and introduce inflationary risk, possibly tilting Fed caution
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💡 What to Watch Today
1. Policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT — tone on inflation and risks
2. Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) — signals on number and timing of cuts (dots)
3. Press conference at 2:30 p.m. EDT — Powell’s tone and Q&A insights