#FOMCMeeting Here’s the latest on the FOMC meeting happening today (June 17–18, 2025):
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🏛️ What’s Under Discussion
Meeting Schedule & Participants
0-2The Federal Open Market Committee, comprising Fed governors and regional presidents, kicked off its two-day meeting today and will wrap Wednesday with the policy announcement at 2 p.m. EDT, followed by Chair Powell’s press conference at 2:30 p.m. .
Current Rate Stance
Benchmarks have held steady at 4.25%–4.50% since December. Consensus suggests rates will remain unchanged today, with a near 99.9% market expectation of no move in June .
Key Risks & Economic Data
Rising oil prices from Middle East tensions and new tariffs from the Trump administration are a major concern—potentially fueling inflation. Domestically, recent signs of economic softness (May retail sales, industrial output, job data) are making the Fed cautious .
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🌐 What to Watch for Tomorrow
Rate Decision & Dot-Plot
The Fed is expected to maintain its current rate, but the dot-plot—which shows individual officials' expectations—may signal a shift toward only one rate cut in 2025, instead of the two previously projected .
Economic Projections
Revised forecasts are expected to show slower GDP growth, slightly higher unemployment, and persistent inflation pressures. Analysts foresee a “stagflationary” pattern—weak growth with stubborn inflation .
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📊 Market Impact
Rate Cut Timeline
Economists widely predict no rate change today, with the earliest cut expected in September at the soonest, barring surprising data .
Market Sensitivity
Markets remain jittery—particularly energy, equities, and crypto. Oil fluctuations and tariff headlines are being closely watched. Even Bitcoin has dipped under $107k ahead of today's decision .
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✅ What This Means for You
Impact Area What to Expect
Borrowers & Savers Rates likely unchanged—mortgage & loan rates expected stable.
Investors Pay attention to Powell’s tone—market volatility expected if forward guidance surprises.