#FOMCMeeting Here’s the latest on the FOMC meeting taking place June 17–18, 2025:

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🏦 What to Expect

No rate change likely: The Fed is widely expected to hold the federal funds rate steady in its current 4.25 %–4.50 % range—unchanged since March—despite some market expectations for cuts .

Dot‑plot insights awaited: Updated Fed projections (dot‑plot) for 2025 will be released, possibly signaling fewer rate cuts than previously predicted—likely pushing the next cut into Q3 or Q4 .

Geopolitics & tariffs under scrutiny: Tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran exchanges) and ongoing U.S. tariffs are injecting volatility, impacting inflation and growth outlooks .

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🔍 Key Drivers & Risks

Factor Details

Inflation & labor market Inflation is cooling (CPI/PPI up ~0.1% in May) and unemployment remains low; signs of labor weakening emerging