#FOMCMeeting Here’s the latest on the FOMC meeting taking place June 17–18, 2025:

---

🔍 What’s Happening

The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, where they’ve remained since December 2024 .

The key driver? Uncertainty from geopolitical risks (escalating Israel–Iran tensions), recent tariff policy, and subdued economic data—notably weak retail sales and industrial output in May .

---

🔮 What to Watch

1. **Summary of Economic Projections ("dot plot")**

Likely to show slower growth and higher inflation than March.

Markets expect only one rate cut in 2025, possibly in September .

2. Fed’s Guidance & Press Conference

Jerome Powell will speak Wednesday at 2:30 pm ET, offering insights into policy direction .

3. Global Risks & Inflation

Expectations are that tariffs and conflict could keep inflation sticky, delaying any easing moves .

---

📊 Market Expectations

A Reuters poll of economists finds:

Cut Timing Percentage

Next cut in September 2025 55%

No cut until Q4 or later 42%

CME FedWatch confirms high odds of a June hold, with rate cuts concentrated in late 2025 .

---

🧭 Overview

Decision: Maintain 4.25–4.50% range.

New guidance: Likely hint at one rate cut later this year.

Signals to tune into: Updated dot plot and Powell’s press conference remarks.

---

Let me know if you'd like a deeper dive into the economic projections, press conference takeaways, or how this impacts investments, mortgage rates, etc.