#FOMCMeeting Attention, here is the FOMC from June 17-18, 2025:
1. Rates in hibernation
At 4.25%–4.50%, the Fed should not make any moves to prevent rate hikes from reviving a dormant inflation. And don't expect surprises: maintaining the status quo is also about reassuring markets that dislike twists and turns.
2. The great circus of the communiqué
Every word of Powell's speech will be dissected like a sacred text. A subdued atmosphere, ultra-calibrated vocabulary, but guaranteed cold sweats for analysts.
3. Dot-plot, the rare bird
The famous dots could indicate two rate cuts by the end of the year. This minimalist graph is the tarot of central bankers.
4. Powell vs. the tweets
Between political pressures and comparisons with Europe, which is lowering its rates, Powell must walk on eggshells without stumbling.
5. Exotic unforeseen events
A conflict or a spike in oil prices, and inflation could rise again: the Fed remains on alert while pretending to stay calm.