Here is an in-depth analysis of XRP, including current performance, fundamental and technical factors, and price expectations in the near and long term:
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1. 📈 Performance and current context
XRP is currently trading at $2.23, with a daily range between $2.19 and $2.33, reflecting moderate volatility.
The last jump on June 16 to 2.3376 came in anticipation of an expected court ruling regarding a potential settlement between Ripple and the SEC, especially lifting the ban on selling XRP to institutions and reducing the potential fine.
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2. Fundamentals
The legal case with the SEC: The expected ruling may lift regulatory constraints and unleash a new wave of confidence, boosting demand for XRP.
Institutional interest and large wallets: Continued increase in holdings from wallets containing more than a million coins, in addition to institutional inflows and rising futures volume (Open Interest, around $3.8 billion).
Institutional adoption: Major moves by Ripple to launch products like RLUSD, increasing collaboration with banks (including nearly 2500 partnerships).
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3. Technical Analysis
Shows movements between strong support levels around $2.09–2.10 and resistances at $2.27 and **$2.36–2.38**.
Technical indicators on 4-hour time frames: Momentum continuation is possible (VI+ above VI–, TSI positive).
Weekly analysis scenarios (Crypto Beast): Formation of a symmetrical triangle indicating a new bullish wave, with an initial target at $8 and possibly reaching up to **$19**.
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4. Price scenarios
Scenario Range Expectation
Short-term Days–Weeks Sideways range between $2.10–2.36, with a target rising towards $2.47–2.50 if the breakout is confirmed.
Medium-term Months Reaching $3.00–3.40 with continued positive narrative and possibly a settlement with the SEC.
Long-term Year+ Optimistic expectations range between $5–7 and even $19 in the optimistic scenario for the technical patterns (Crypto Beast). Bitget expects to reach $5 before the end of 2025.
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5. Strengths and weaknesses
Strengths:
Partial victory in the SEC case leads to the removal of regulatory constraints.
Increased institutional interest and rising futures liquidity.
Analytical and technical support is bullish at various levels.
Weaknesses:
Overbought near strong resistances may lead to a correction before any upward breakout.
Remaining risks from not reaching a final settlement with the SEC.
Any delay in ruling or general market fluctuations may lead to a downward correction.
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6. Technical and strategic recommendations
For those interested in short trading: a breakout above the $2.36–2.38 level with high trading volume can be seen as an entry signal for a temporary upward wave.
For medium to long-term investors: the approach towards $8–19 depends on obtaining an official settlement, so risk distribution and dollar-cost averaging (DCA) would be a suitable strategy.
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7. Summary
Today's price: $2.23.
Technical trend: sideways to bullish with readiness for a breakout.
Fundamental news: the court ruling and institutional interest are the main drivers.
Expectations:
Successful: $2.5–3 soon,
Average: $5–7 by the end of 2025,
Very optimistic: ~ $19 in the current market cycle.
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🎯 Final advice: Don't rely solely on technical or fundamental analysis; be prepared for rapid market movements and invest only what you can afford to lose, with continuous monitoring of court news and institutional adoption.
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