#FOMCMeeting

• Key factors: expansion or contraction of inflation, labor market conditions, and external shocks.

• If there are hints of a cut in July or September in the communiqué — the markets will react swiftly.

✅ Conclusion for today

1. There is no decision to raise the rate – holding steady at 4.25–4.50%.

2. The dot plot may be reduced to one cut instead of two.

3. Powell at the press conference – the key word now, an attempt to explain when and under what conditions a cut is expected.

4. Markets and the dollar: if the tone is “wait-and-see,” the USD may strengthen, stocks may falter. Conversely, hints of a cut will strengthen risk assets.