Stablecoin success hinges on securing strong distribution channels, according to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX. In a recent analysis, Hayes argues that new stablecoin issuers face significant challenges due to the established dominance of players like Tether (USDT) and Circle (USDC). USDT's success, Hayes notes, stems from its early partnership with Bitfinex and its strong foothold in the Chinese-speaking market. USDC, while backed by Coinbase, struggles to match USDT's market share. Hayes suggests that major cryptocurrency exchanges are largely locked into partnerships with existing stablecoin issuers, making it difficult for new entrants to gain traction. He predicts that social media companies and banks will likely develop their own stablecoin solutions, further limiting distribution options. To attract users, new stablecoins may need to offer attractive net interest margins (NIM) to incentivize depositors to switch from established options. The key takeaway is that a superior product alone isn't enough; a robust distribution network is critical for stablecoin adoption and long-term success. ```