$BTC

6.17 BTC Contract Short-term Layout Plan

I. Market Review and Current Situation Analysis

Since May 22, the BTC market has shown a triangular adjustment pattern in the K-line. During this period, both bulls and bears have engaged in fierce competition, with the market in a relatively stalemated state. The area around 109100 has become a significant resistance level, with the price having attempted to approach this level multiple times without achieving a successful breakout, indicating strong selling pressure exists at this point; conversely, the area around 104200 has played a crucial support role, as every time the price falls back to this level, it triggers a certain degree of buying interest, preventing further price declines. This triangular adjustment pattern typically signifies that the market is accumulating strength, waiting for a clear breakout direction.

II. Short-term Contract Layout Strategy

Based on the current market trends, we have formulated the following short-term contract layout strategy: when the market rebounds to around 109100, it is considered an ideal short entry opportunity. This is because, from a technical analysis perspective, when prices approach the upper resistance level, the upward momentum tends to weaken gradually, and this position is likely to trigger a counterattack from bears. Entering a short position at this time aligns with the short-term trend changes in the market, allowing for a more favorable entry point.

III. Target Setting

We have set the target price range for this short position at 105000 - 104000. The choice of this target range is well-founded: the price levels of 105000 and 104000 have played significant roles in previous market movements, serving as critical points of contention between bulls and bears, with strong psychological and practical support and resistance conversion relationships. When the price falls to this range, it is highly likely to trigger a chain reaction in the market, further strengthening the bearish forces and driving the price closer to the lower target of 104000, thus achieving a considerable profit margin.

IV. Risk Control and Stop-loss

Risk control is a crucial aspect of contract trading. To effectively control potential risks, we have set a risk control stop-loss of around 700 points. Specifically, if the price does not decline as expected after entering a short position, but instead rises to around 109800 (109100 + 700), we will decisively stop-loss and exit. This stop-loss setting takes into account the normal range of market fluctuations, avoiding being easily stopped out due to short-term price volatility.