📈📉 Bitcoin (BTC): Two Possible Scenarios for 2025–2030
Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, is entering a cycle of high expectations. Below are two objective scenarios: one bullish and the other bearish, based on technical and macroeconomic factors.
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🐂 Bullish Scenario
If the macro environment favors risk assets, with falling interest rates, increasing institutional adoption, and spot ETFs gaining strength, Bitcoin may sustain a valuation cycle.
Bullish Projections:
2025: Range between $100,000 and $150,000, potentially reaching $175,000 with strong institutional flow.
2026–2027: Correction or consolidation between $80,000 and $130,000.
2028–2030: New bullish cycle post-halving, with peaks between $180,000 and $250,000, with optimistic scenarios pointing up to $300,000.
Bullish Factors:
Consolidated ETFs, corporate adoption, post-halving scarcity, and institutional demand.
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🐻 Bearish Scenario
If there is macro deterioration (rising interest rates, recession, or liquidity crisis), Bitcoin may face strong selling pressure.
Bearish Projections:
2025: Drop to $50,000–$65,000, with difficulty maintaining $70,000.
2026–2027: Prolonged bear market, with lows between $35,000 and $45,000.
2028–2030: Slow recovery, with sideways movement between $50,000 and $75,000, resistance below $80,000.
Bearish Factors:
Global recession, severe regulations, selling by large holders, and decline in institutional interest.
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✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin's performance until 2030 will depend on the macroeconomic context, institutional response, and the effects of the upcoming halvings. Monitoring indicators will be crucial for adjusting strategies.
