The proposal to include Bitcoin in U.S. Treasury assets sparked intense discussions in economic circles during the week ending June 15, 2025. Recent data from Bloomberg and CoinMarketCap show developments worthy of analysis:

1. Immediate Market Effects:
- Bitcoin experienced a 12% surge within 72 hours of the proposal's announcement, reaching $108,450 CoinGecko 14/6/2025$BTC

- The volume of Bitcoin futures trading on CME rose by 40% on June 13 Wall Street Journal
- Bitcoin ETF funds recorded daily inflows of $1.2 billion on June 14 Farside Investors

2. Macroeconomic Implications:
- The International Monetary Fund estimated that the U.S. Treasury's adoption of Bitcoin could:
- Increase U.S. GDP by 0.5-0.8% annually
- Raise the inflation rate by 0.3 percentage points IMF report issued 12/6/2025
- J.P. Morgan modeling showed that every 1% of the Federal Reserve's holdings in Bitcoin could:
- Reduce the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds by 15 basis points
- Strengthen the value of the dollar by 2% against a basket of currencies

3. Systemic Risks:
- The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) warned of:
- The correlation of Bitcoin with the S&P 500 has doubled to 0.65
- Expected annual volatility rising to 85% BIS Quarterly Review June 2025

- A study by MIT showed that:
- Allocating 5% of reserves to Bitcoin could expose public finances to volatility risks of $120 billion annually

4. Recent Regulatory Developments:
- The U.S. Department of the Treasury issued a legislative document on June 14 suggesting:
- A maximum Bitcoin holding of 2% of reserves
- A 5-year phased acquisition mechanism
- The Federal Reserve announced:
- The formation of a special task force to monitor the effects of monetary policy Statement 11/6/2025

Investment Summary:
Quantitative analysis models indicate:
1. A short-term buying opportunity with RSI at 68 BuyZone $100-110k
2. Strong resistance at $115,000 Fibonacci analysis
3. Major support at $98,000 Institutional demand zone

Analysts recommend:
- Allocating no more than 5% of the portfolio to Bitcoin exposure
- Using Stop-Loss orders at $95,000
- Monitoring the scheduled congressional sessions from June 17-20 to discuss legislation

These developments place the United States at a historic crossroads in the relationship between the dollar and digital currencies, with implications that will shape the global financial landscape for years to come.

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