💣🔍 GUN/USDT – Rebound or Bull Trap?
⚔️ Layer 1/2 Token | 4H Chart Analysis | 📉 Downtrend Cooling Off
Current Price: $0.02798
📉 Change: -0.21%
24H Range: $0.02674 – $0.02844
Volume: 44.27M GUN / 1.23M USDT
🔬 Technical Breakdown:
📊 EMA Cloud: Heavy Overhead Resistance
• Price is sitting just under the EMA cluster (9–30), acting as dynamic resistance.
• EMA(65) and EMA(200) remain far above, showing the dominant bearish trend is still in play.
📉 MACD: Weak Bullish Crossover
• MACD barely flipped green after a long red streak, suggesting a weak recovery attempt.
• Still below the zero line = bears are not done yet.
📈 RSI: Mid-Zone Compression
• RSI(6): 49.9 (neutral)
• RSI(12): 40.0 | RSI(24): 37.0
• This tells us momentum is slightly recovering, but still lacks conviction.
📦 Volume Spike (Likely Exhaustion)
• One big green volume bar near the bottom hints at capitulation or short-term demand, but follow-through is weak = caution.
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🚨 Bearish Outlook (Short Setup)
If GUN fails to break and hold above $0.0296, it may resume the downtrend.
🎯 Target 1: $0.02513 (recent low)
🎯 Target 2: $0.0222 (next historical support)
🔁 Entry Idea:
• Price rejection from EMA30 ($0.0296)
• RSI dips below 40 again
• MACD curve flattens or turns red
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Above $0.0305
📉 Risk: Weak reversal bounce, trend still controlled by sellers.
🔥 Bullish Outlook (Long Setup)
If GUN manages a close above $0.0305, we could see a trend change confirmation.
🎯 Target 1: $0.0333 (EMA65)
🎯 Target 2: $0.0375 (supply zone)
🔁 Entry Idea:
• 4H candle closes above EMA30 + volume uptick
• RSI crosses 50
• MACD expands positively
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Below $0.0265
⚠️ Warning: Still early, momentum hasn’t flipped convincingly yet.
🎯 Conclusion
🔮 Break above $0.0305 = ride the bounce
💀 Rejection below $0.029 = fade the pump
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