📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/06/15)
ETH is consolidating around 2.53k today, with short-term and long-term moving averages entangled. Key support is at 2.43–2.50k, waiting for a breakout direction.
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【Daily】
Trend: The daily price is below the 10MA (2,596) and 20MA (2,574), bouncing slightly after testing the 50MA (2,423) for support. The RSI is converging around 50, the MACD continues with negative divergence, and the DMI shows −DI leading. The short-term is bearish but still maintains above the 50MA; a drop below 2,381 would turn it into a clear downtrend.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,381 (turns bearish if broken)
🟢 Add Long: 2,488 triggered | 2,405
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 2,880
🎯 Take Profit: 3,186 | 3,684 | 4,182
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【4 Hours】
Trend: The 4H price bounced after finding support around the 200MA (2,499) but is still oscillating below the 10MA (2,544) and 20MA (2,577). The RSI has risen from oversold to above 40, the MACD negative bars are converging, and the DMI +DI is leading under ADX > 20. The short-term has rebound momentum but should pay attention to the pressure from the moving averages above.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Trailing Stop: 2,436 (turns bearish if broken)
🟢 Add Long: 2,488 triggered | 2,520 | 2,544
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 2,788
🎯 Take Profit: 2,879 | 3,000
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【1 Hour】
Trend: The 1H price is slightly oscillating above the 10MA (2,529) and 20MA (2,530). The RSI is about 53, and although the MACD histogram is converging, it still maintains negative values. The DMI ADX < 20 shows an unclear trend, waiting for a breakout in the 2,488–2,547 range to determine the direction.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,547 (turns bullish if broken)
🟢 Add Short: 2,541 triggered | 2,560 | 2,580
🚨 Breakout Follow Short: 2,488
🎯 Take Profit: 2,430 | 2,335 | 2,241
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【Strategy Summary】
⚠️ Operational Suggestions:
1. It is recommended to gradually go long in the 2,488–2,520 range, with a stop loss set at 2,381, and the first target looking at 2,788–2,879.
2. If the price drops below 2,436, consider setting up short positions in the 2,480–2,488 range, with a stop loss at 2,547 and a target of 2,430–2,335.
3. Closely monitor the changes in the 10/20MA and Bollinger Bands momentum, and strictly control risks.
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