[One, Daily Level Analysis]
From the daily candlestick perspective, Bitcoin (BTC) has retraced to around 105000 after breaking the previous high of 111959, currently consolidating in that range. The overall bullish trend remains evident, within a large ascending channel, after the retracement, it is expected to welcome the next round of upward movement:
Trend judgment: The daily line has continuously contracted and retraced, and the volume has not seen extreme expansion, indicating that it is not a panic sell-off but a healthy consolidation.
Support levels: 105000, 98000
Resistance levels: 108500, 111959 (historical high)
Conclusion: The daily trend is slightly bullish, currently in a strong support area, and has a rebound demand.
[Two, Four-hour Level Analysis]
The 4-hour candlestick chart shows that Bitcoin has fallen from the high of 111959 to around 105000, and the recent two dips to 105000 have been pulled back, forming a short-term double bottom pattern. MACD is at a low golden cross, KDJ is consolidating at a low position and is preparing to turn:
Key short-term point: If it breaks 106200, it is expected to test the range of 107800~108500.
Resistance zone: around 107500, 109000
Support zone: 104500~105000, if it breaks below, it will test 102800.
Conclusion: There is rebound momentum in the short term, if it effectively stands above 106200, it confirms the short-term bullish structure.
[Three, One-hour Level Analysis]
The hourly chart shows that Bitcoin is currently consolidating in the 105000~106000 area, multiple lower shadows indicate strengthening bullish control in the short term, and the MA moving averages show signs of convergence, waiting for a direction choice.
Short-term structure: Small double bottom prototype formed, if it breaks 106200 with volume, the short-term bullish position is established.
Bollinger Bands: Currently the middle band is under pressure, breaking through the middle band will enter the upper band expansion period.
Conclusion: The hourly line has short-term rebound demand, light positions can be attempted.
[Four, Real Trading Strategy Reference (based on 125x leverage, strict risk control required)]
Current price: approximately 105421.5 (June 15, 10:00)
Long strategy:
Opening position: 105200
First take profit level: 106250
Second take profit level: 107300
Stop loss level: 103620
[Five, Trading Logic Summary]
The main bullish trend has not been broken, the current level is within the double bottom support zone, with rebound momentum;
If it cannot break above 106200 with volume, it will enter a consolidation or continue to retrace;
Aggressive short positions are only recommended to try near previous highs during rebounds, the main idea remains to trade with the trend on the long side.
[Six, Risk Warning]
The strategy is suitable for high-frequency intraday trading, not recommended for medium to long-term positions; using high leverage must strictly control risks, and adhere to stop loss and take profit mechanisms to prevent liquidation.
