$ADA Below is the market analysis for ADA:

Technical Analysis

- Short-term Trend: On the daily chart, ADA is consolidating within an ascending triangle, with resistance at the top of the triangle around $0.74. The trendline of higher lows forms a support around $0.63 to $0.67, indicating increased demand. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the neutral zone of 55 to 60, leaving room for upward movement. The 50-day moving average (MA50) is trending upward and is about to form a golden cross with the 200-day moving average (MA200); if confirmed, this is a typical bullish signal.

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- Medium-term Trend: The weekly chart shows a descending wedge pattern, which is usually associated with bullish reversals. Once the upper trendline of the wedge is broken, the first technical target may be around $1.32, indicating significant potential for upward movement.

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- Key Levels: Recent resistance is at $0.75, with support at $0.58. If it breaks above $0.75, it may rise to $0.83; if it falls below $0.58, it could correct to $0.50.

Fundamental Analysis

- Project Progress: Cardano is nearing the final phase of the Voltaire era, focusing on complete decentralization and on-chain governance. The successful launch of the “Chang” hard fork in September 2024 will make ADA a governance asset, allowing holders to participate in key decisions. The second-layer solution Hydra has made significant progress, capable of bringing high throughput and low latency to the network. In terms of cross-chain compatibility, the Intersek bridge is in the testnet phase, which will increase developer adoption rates.

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- Ecosystem: By the first quarter of 2025, the Cardano community treasury will grow to 1.7 billion ADA, approximately $1.1 billion. Although the total locked value (TVL) in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector has decreased month-on-month, the TVL diversity index has risen by 13% to 9 points, with the stablecoin sector thriving, market capitalization increasing by 30% to nearly $30 million, and the ecosystem becoming increasingly mature.

Market Sentiment and Investor Expectations

- Some institutions and analysts hold a cautiously optimistic view on ADA's price outlook. Several institutional predictive models indicate a conservative expectation for ADA's price range at the end of 2025 to be between $0.8 and $1.5. If the total DeFi locked value breaks the $10 billion threshold and other conditions are met, it is expected to reach highs of $6 to $10 in 2026.