🔥“Crypto in Crisis? Market Reaction to Israel–Iran Airstrikes Explained”

🌍 Geopolitical Outlook & Crypto Impact

📉 Sharp Risk-Off Reaction

• Following Israel’s June 13 airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military sites, major global asset sell-offs emerged. Oil prices jumped ~7–11%, the U.S. dollar and gold surged, and stock futures dropped sharply  .

• Bitcoin initially plunged ~4–6%, dipping under $103K–104K before stabilizing near ~$105K  .

• Ethereum and altcoins hit harder: ETH down ~7–9%, Solana ~8–11%, XRP ~5–8%, with over $1 billion in leveraged crypto liquidations in just 24 hours .

🛡️ Crypto Isn’t (Yet) a Safe Haven

• While gold rose 1–1.3%, Bitcoin dropped 2–4%, fueling debate on whether BTC functions as “digital gold.” Notably, financial commentator Peter Schiff argued Bitcoin failed to act as a crisis hedge this time  .

• Markets appear to treat crypto as a high-risk asset, similar to tech stocks, rather than a traditional safe haven  .

📈 Potential for Rebound

• Historical patterns suggest BTC often rebounds after such geopolitical shocks. Analysts note this crisis mirrors the October 2024 Israel–Iran escalation, where BTC dropped ~8% then surged ~80% over the following weeks  .

• Technical indicators show BTC may be bouncing off its 50-day SMA, hinting at resiliency  .
  

🧭 What to Watch Next

1.Escalation Levels – Further strikes or retaliations could extend volatility and deepen sell-offs.

2.Institutional Inflows – Even amid drops, BTC continued inflows (~$86M reported before escalation)      .

3.Macro Support – If BTC holds ~50-day MA, history suggests possible strong bounce in 4–8 weeks.

4.Safe Haven Comparisons – Continued outperformance of gold vs bitcoin may reshape investor narratives