$BTC 📊BTC/USDT(14 June ,2025) Technical Analysis,Price Prediction and Trade Plan 🚀🚀
🔄 Key Changes vs Previous
Price: $105,475.00 (+1.61% from $103,574.42)
24h Low: $103,065 – bounce confirmed
Volume: 2,616 BTC < 5-day avg (15,353 BTC) – ⚠️ weak conviction
RSI: Up to 42.68 from 35.25 – still bearish
MACD: Histogram -302.90 – strong bearish momentum
EMAs: Price reclaimed EMA(25), rejected at EMA(7)
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📊 Key Metrics
Price: $105,475.00
EMA(7): $106,526.12
EMA(25): $105,675.44
EMA(99): $98,388.93
RSI(6): 42.68
MACD Histogram: -302.90
Volume: 2,616 BTC
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🔍 Technical Analysis
1. Dead Cat Bounce off $103,065 → mild 1.6% up
2. Volume Drop confirms lack of strong demand
3. Bearish Momentum remains (MACD < 0, RSI < 50)
4. EMA Rejection at 7 & 25 suggests possible lower high
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🔮 Price Prediction
12–24H Outlook:
🔻 Base Case (70%): Rejection at $105,675 → test $104,500 → $103,065
🔼 Bull Case (30%): Break $105,675 → rally to $106,526
3-Day Outlook:
Close >$106,526 = bullish reversal
Break below $103,065 = slide to $101,514
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⚔️ Trade Plan
✅ Intraday Scalps
1. Short
Entry: $105,450–$105,600
Targets: $104,800 → $104,000
SL: Above $105,800
Confirm: RSI < 40 + bearish 1h candle
2. Breakout Long
Entry: $105,700
Targets: $106,252 → $106,500
SL: Below $105,500
Confirm: Volume > 10K BTC
🧲 Swing Trades
1. Aggressive Short
Entry: $106,200
Targets: $105,000 → $103,500
SL: Above $106,600
Trigger: MACD histo < -300
2. Support Long
Entry: $103,100
Targets: $105,000 → $105,675
SL: Below $102,800
Confirm: RSI < 35 + bullish 4h candle
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📉 Risk Parameters
Scalp Size: ≤1.5%
Swing Size: ≤2%
Stop Loss Risk: ≤0.8% of capital
TP Zones:
Short: $104,500 & $104,000
Long: $106,000 & $106,500
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🚨 Critical Triggers
- BEARISH CONFIRMATION:
! Rejection at $105,675
! RSI < 40
! 4h close < $104,500
! MACD histo < -320
+ BULLISH REVERSAL:
! Break above $106,526
! RSI > 50
! Volume > 15K BTC
! MACD histo > -250
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🧠 Summary
BTC is staging a weak recovery, but resistance at EMA(7) is holding.
