$BTC 1. Recent context and volatility

Bitcoin is trading near $105,500, with intraday variations between $103,400 and $106,100.

On Thursday, it experienced a severe drop (~3.3%), the worst of the month, with liquidations exceeding $1 billion, following the attacks in Israel-Iran.

2. Negative factors over the weekend

The geopolitical escalation in the Middle East continues to pressure risk assets like BTC.

The options volatility index (“skew”) shows greater demand for puts, reflecting uncertainty.

3. Positive factors and macroeconomic support

The decrease in inflation and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may boost liquidity in cryptocurrencies.

Regulatory advancements in the U.S.: progress was made with the CLARITY project and the GENIUS initiative for stablecoins, and firms like Coinbase are gaining institutional backing.

4. Technical projections and forecasts for the weekend

FxStreet notes that BTC could drop to $100,000 and that key support is near $101,095 (Friday's intraday low).

CoinLore estimates a range of $104,000–$106,000 for the next 10 days, projecting a closing of the weekend period at around $105,100.

Traders Union suggests that BTC could reach up to $106,850 in a week, with possible fluctuations towards highs of around $109,500 in the medium term.