$XRP with the SEC.
The AI model o3 Pro from ChatGPT has just analyzed 42 immediate indicators - starting from TradingView data through Binance's order book and the buzz on social media and news - to provide surprising forecasts about Ripple's price (XRP) currently at $2.20 before the court ruling regarding the dispute between Ripple and the SEC scheduled for June 16, along with imminent institutional reserves of XRP worth $500 million.
With volatility levels dropping to their lowest in 2025, o3 Pro noted that the level of $2.25 represents the pivot point between a price rise towards $2.60 and a drop to $2.10. Despite daily trading volumes exceeding $2.6 billion, the general sentiment among investors is split between positivity and negativity, awaiting the anticipated ruling.
The following analyses relate to the more advanced version of the AI model ChatGPT (o3 Pro), as they have been audited and humanized for easier reading.
A brief overview of AI analyses and predictions regarding Ripple's price.
After starting trading yesterday at $2.33, the price slightly decreased, indicating the presence of exciting technical analysis data, and despite the large volumes of buy and sell orders, key momentum indicators - the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at around 40, and the MACD falling below the signal line - suggest a decrease in traders' risk-taking.
Reading volatility indicators also calls for caution, as one TradingView analysis indicates that 'the convergence of the upper and lower bounds of the Bollinger indicator suggests an increase in price volatility.'
This convergence usually precedes strong price movements, providing high-risk opportunities during the next 90 days.
Financial and fundamental technical data also sparks a wave of enthusiasm, with Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse indicating that XRP could 'capture 14% of SWIFT's transaction volume in the next five years,' just days before the anticipated ruling on June 16 in the case against the SEC.
Considering the first institutional reserves of Ripple worth $500 million, the launch of the USDC stablecoin, and the imminent launch of the Ripple stablecoin RLUSD on the XRPL blockchain, and the continuous active addresses reaching 111,000 daily, blockchain activities appear to be very large (and unusual) compared to Ripple's price movements.
Considering the relative stability of the price, the increasing blockchain activities, and the oscillation of the general sentiment of investors between caution and optimism, the next price direction depends on the order of signal occurrences.
Technical analysis of Ripple's price: forecasts depend on the next movements of currently neutral indicators.
The daily price chart shows that Ripple's price is in the tightest Bollinger Bands ranges since February, indicating the relative stability of the price.
Momentum indicators also confirm this relative stability, with the Relative Strength Index at around 41 - which does not suggest strong price movements - and the MACD oscillating slightly near zero after falling below the signal line.
Traders are also watching the cross of the 50-day EMA (EMA-50) with its 100-day counterpart (EMA-100) near the $2.26-$2.27 area, which usually indicates a halt in price increases unless trading volumes increase.
The RSI falling below 50 and above the overbought zone indicates momentum neutrality.
The MACD falling below the signal line indicates selling pressure.
The ATR indicator at 0.0126 indicates daily fluctuations not exceeding 1%, which is unusual for Ripple's price.
The slight increase in the volume-weighted moving average (VWMA-20) indicates slight buying pressure despite the regular moving averages (EMAs) signaling selling pressure.
This relative swing period usually follows strong price movements, but volatility indicators alone cannot determine the direction of this breakout; what will determine it is the short-term price direction and buy and sell order data.
Important support and resistance levels enhance expectations of significant price fluctuations.
According to technical analysis experts, the next support area is at the range of $2.20-$2.23, just above the pivot point of the first support level (Classic Pivot S1) at $2.2208, followed by a stronger support area extending to $2.10, where previous price declines halted twice in April. Conversely, the pivot point for the first resistance level (Classic Pivot R1) is at $2.2446, followed by a resistance area extending from $2.33 to $2.34, which the price has recently failed to surpass.
If the price successfully breaks above $2.24 strongly, it may again align with the middle line of the Bollinger indicator at $2.39, and it may continue to rise toward the $2.60 level if trading volumes increase.
If the price falls below $2.20, it may drop to the lower line of the Bollinger indicator at approximately $1.87.
Both EMA-25 and EMA-100 intersect at the level of $2.26, which serves as a pivot point, and closing above or below this level may determine the price direction for the coming week.
The decline in the Average True Range (ATR) indicates that if the price successfully breaks out of this range, its initial movements may be swift and strong, as traders seek to anticipate the court ruling regarding the dispute with the SEC in mid-June.
Reading the technical analysis indicators for Ripple's price generally invites optimism, with its relative stability continuing and the possibility of an uptick if strong catalysts such as legal clarity or a sudden improvement in macroeconomic conditions are available.
Liquidity and buy and sell order volumes: Can the bulls trigger a new wave of increases?
Large volumes of buy and sell orders and an influx of investments.
Considering Ripple's large market capitalization of $128.50 billion, and looking at its value after all coins are circulated - currently $224 billion - XRP is considered one of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of buy and sell order volumes, preceded by Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
The Binance spot trading market recorded the largest trading volumes for the XRP/USD pair, with total buy and sell order volumes estimated in the tens of millions of dollars without significant price spreads, contributing to easing potential price volatility following the aforementioned court ruling.
Daily trading volume: $2.61 billion, or 2% of the circulating market capitalization, providing significant daily liquidity.
Weekly trading volume: $18.24 billion, indicating the currency continues to attract investments despite the price drop.
Pivot point calculations indicate that the largest trading deals in the previous trading session occurred at around $2.23, reflecting continued buying pressures near the short-term support level.
The rise in VWMA-20 indicates continued buying below the levels of the convergence of the exponential moving averages.
Given this data, major players may increase their speculative positions either long or short - with considerable confidence - without fearing that a drop in order volumes will alter their entry points, enhancing the positive outlook for Ripple's price in the current quarter.
Trading volumes indicate large buying operations.
Despite a drop in trading volumes compared to their high levels in late May, the data indicates a shift from derivatives contracts to spot trading, which is usually followed by a change in price direction. Considering the relative price stability, the data suggests traders are quietly opening positions rather than monitoring momentum.
The increasing share of spot trading markets in total trading volumes indicates a decrease in leverage usage ahead of the SEC decision.
An increase in daily trading volumes above their 90-day average indicates continued interest in this currency despite its relative price stability.
Liquidity levels are likely to concentrate in the buy and sell order charts between $2.15 and $2.25, so any decline towards this range may be met with massive buying offers.
If trading volumes increase and daily trading closes above $2.33, historical data indicates a possibility of the price rising to around $2.60.
In short, large volumes of buy and sell orders, along with increasing spot trading volumes, enhance the likelihood of significant movements despite the relative stability of the price. We will discuss below the potential for providing blockchain data and the general sentiment on social media as catalysts for these large movements.
Ripple's blockchain activity: does it provide tangible functional uses or is it just rumors?
Ongoing daily activity indicates sustainable demand.
Despite Ripple's price volatility calming on the charts, the network's productive capacity remains active with daily active addresses reaching 111,000 users, significantly higher than the weekly average in 2024, indicating that traders are not just holding coins but using them to transfer value and run applications.
The number of active addresses has not been affected by the recent price drop by 4%, reflecting users' connection to the network.
Transaction patterns align with stablecoin issuance events, indicating increased usage in decentralized finance (DeFi).
Ongoing blockchain activity with price stability distinguishes Ripple from many other blockchain networks, which usually see their activity retreat with decreasing trading volumes of their coins.
The continued large usage of XRP Ledger indicates that the demand for this blockchain is not affected by Ripple's price movements, reducing the risks of liquidity decline in the event of significant price fluctuations.
New catalysts may cause a decrease in Ripple's circulating supply.
Ripple is likely to continue attracting investments due to its functional uses, with Singapore-based Trident Digital announcing the establishment of a $500 million reserve of Ripple, the first of its kind at this scale; while the Flare network integration allocates $100 million of XRP for use in smart contracts across multiple blockchain networks.
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!
Singapore-based Trident Digital (NASDAQ: TDTH) plans to raise $500M to establish the world’s first large-scale corporate #XRP reserve!
XRP WILL BE THE WORLD’S RESERVE CURRENCY! pic.twitter.com/kr5VwlqA6Y
--- JackTheRippler © (@RippleXrpie) June 12, 2025
On the other hand, competition among stablecoins on the XRP Ledger has increased: the USDC currency has been launched, and Ripple's RLUSD currency will soon be launched.
The establishment of large reserves of this currency indicates that institutions see XRP as one of the strategic reserve assets, not just a speculative tool.
XRP's role on Flare helps lock up many coins within the technical systems of smart contracts, which works to reduce supply on trading platforms.
Transferring USDC and RLUSD requires using Ripple to pay fees, contributing to increased demand for this currency as usage of these stablecoins rises.
According to all this, these factors may create positive pressures for Ripple's price due to the decrease in circulating supply, alongside macroeconomic catalysts, such as the potential SEC decision.
Blockchain data indicates increased functional use of Ripple, enhancing the positive outlook for XRP price, without being limited to mere hype.
Social media indicators for XRP: Ripple's volatility gauge indicates cautious optimism.
LunarCrush's general sentiment dashboard provides accurate figures about the social sentiment around XRP, and the latest reading indicates slight positivity, with the Galaxy Score for the currency at a value of 56 - slightly above the neutral level - while the currency ranks 173 on the AltRank scale, placing it in the middle of the tracked assets.
Source: LunarCrush
Despite this, total interaction remains massive, with the currency witnessing 10.04 million interactions in 24 hours, indicating an audience that does not settle when new catalysts emerge.
A reading of the Galaxy Score over 50 indicates a slight bullish bias, but it doesn't rise to the large spikes usually followed by sharp reversals in direction.
The average AltRank indicates that XRP is neither the most nor the least attractive currently, which is an ideal situation for a price breakout should new news emerge.
The volume of interaction supports liquidity and is often associated with lower price spreads on major trading platforms.
Historical comparisons show that the currency obtaining a score exceeding 60 on the Galaxy Score, along with increased interactions, generally precedes bullish waves lasting several weeks, a threshold that XRP has not yet reached.
As for traders, these numbers indicate that the general sentiment is moderately positive, allowing for a sudden change in XRP price forecasts in the event of significant market developments.
Continuing discussions on social media: high-risk predictions draw attention.
Beyond various metrics, headlines and activities on Twitter reveal the trends driving the community; in the last four hours alone, discussions have shifted from optimism about the currency's adoption to warnings about increasing negative expectations.
Bitcoinist reports, citing Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse just 34 minutes ago: 'XRP is expected to capture 14% of SWIFT's transaction volume.'
BeInCrypto reports a contrary news: 'XRP's price is declining amid the bears' (short sellers) dominance and increasing short speculation,' revealing traders' caution three hours ago.
FXStreet paints a more comprehensive picture from 4 hours ago, stating: 'Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are susceptible to further declines amid decreasing trading volumes.'
On its part, news on Twitter amplifies the risk size, and some examples can be identified:
The Good Morning Crypto account noted that the corporate reserve of XRP reached $500 million, calling it 'breaking news.'
The Moon Lambo account praised the launch of the USDC currency on the Ripple XRPL blockchain, calling it 'amazing news for all XRP holders,' indicating it will raise the total value locked and increase demand for fees.
The Kraken trading platform has excited the 'XRP Army' with an emoji indicating monitoring, showing the platform's interest in the possibility of severe volatility.
This mix of cautious optimism and hedging against declines appears to maintain the balance of general sentiment, creating fertile ground for a sudden move once the SEC ruling is issued, or if any other major market headline forces the market to take a unified stance. Until then, XRP's volatility remains subdued - on both charts and the social scene - awaiting a resurgence of confidence.
The awaited regulatory decision: countdown to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ruling and its impact on Ripple.
It seems that the legal case that has been pursuing XRP since late 2020 is about to reach a decisive point within five days, as the court has set June 16 as the next - and perhaps final - date in the proceedings of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple Labs, which will determine whether XRP is classified as a security under U.S. law, a classification that could limit its listing on trading platforms and institutional access.
BREAKING: $XRP attorney Bill Morgan says we could see a breakthrough in the Ripple vs. SEC battle within 9 days—as the SEC’s 60-day window closes 6/16.
Full resolution could be as early as June 13, 2025.
This could be the moment the #XRPArmy have for.
Bullish pic.twitter.com/WLVIC2Ydmx
--- Armando Pantoja (@_TallGuyTycoon) June 7, 2025
On the other hand, a ruling in favor of Ripple will confirm the currency's classification as a commodity, paving the way for wider adoption in the United States. The issuance of the decision coincides with corporate treasuries experimenting with creating a reserve of XRP worth $500 million, as stablecoin issuers transition to the XRP Ledger, which amplifies the impact of any forthcoming legal clarity.
Potential scenarios for the ruling and its impact on the market: complete victory for Ripple.
XRP will escape classification as a security, opening the door for its re-listing on major trading platforms and U.S. brokerage applications.
Price movement may begin to accelerate, leading to a clear breakout above the range of $2.33-$2.34, potentially targeting the $2.60 area, which is the next liquidity level.
The impact of this positive precedent may extend to other altcoins used in payment operations, leading to narrower price spreads and increased money flow into the sector.
Partial victory/settlement.
A negotiated solution could involve a fine without classifying current sales as securities.
Markets are likely to welcome the decrease in delayed penalty risks, but the upward trend may temporarily halt near the middle band of the Bollinger Band at $2.39 until the precise conditions for settlement become clear.
If the fine on Ripple is less than expected, the remaining funds may be used to support demand for the currency through strategic buybacks or technical system grants.
Victory for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Classifying XRP as a security will remove it from U.S. trading platforms, at which point liquidity from external platforms will prevail.
The price may drop below the nearest support level at $2.20, heading toward the increasing demand area at $2.10.
Increasing legal uncertainty regarding similar coins could lead to greater risk differentials in the entire market, increasing XRP's volatility.
Regardless of the outcome, the decision is expected to trigger a wave of volatility exceeding the baseline of the Average True Range (ATR) at 0.0126, similar to previous price fluctuations resulting from the legal case.
Therefore, traders accustomed to the current calm in XRP trading should prepare for violent fluctuations in the order book and price spreads, while algorithms race to determine prices considering regulatory risks within seconds of the ruling's issuance.
XRP price forecasts for the next three months: potential scenarios and key levels.
Base scenario: relative stability within a defined range.
With ongoing current pressures and no ruling from Washington yet, the most likely path is relative stability within the range of $2.10-$2.60.
Technical indicators cautiously favor the bearish scenario, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading below 50, and the MACD under the signal line, but without signs of losing hope, while the actual use of the currency on the blockchain continues to reduce its available supply in the market.
The price faces initial resistance at $2.24 (the pivot point R1), and the core supply area (where a large amount of supply exists) between $2.33-$2.34.
Support is located at $2.20, backed by pending buy orders and the liquidity concentration shown in supply and demand charts.
The convergence of the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA50/100) around $2.26 forms a price pivot point, where closing above it indicates a tendency towards upward momentum, whereas closing below it indicates a tendency towards decline.
The expected daily range according to the 14-day Average True Range (ART 14) remains at 1% until a catalyst appears that expands this range.
This basic scenario anticipates volatile movements punctuated by short spikes, providing greater benefits to short-term traders than to trend followers.
Price breakout catalysts and risk factors.
Certainty regarding the future direction depends on several clear catalysts, as the SEC’s issuance of a decisive ruling or the increase of stablecoins on XRPL or rising macroeconomic risks could determine whether the tide will turn to the bulls or the bears.
Bullish catalysts.
Ripple's victory in court: will lead to the immediate re-listing of the currency on U.S. platforms, targeting the middle band of the Bollinger Band at $2.39 and its extension at $2.60.
A continuous rise in the number of active addresses, along with the integration of the Flare network worth $100 million, reduces the circulating supply.
The Galaxy Score indicator rises above 60 in conjunction with increased social interaction, resembling what occurred during previous price breakout periods.
Bearish catalysts.
Classifying the currency as a security will lead to its removal from trading platforms, which will pressure the support level of $2.20 and open the way for a price decline toward testing support at $2.10.
A wave of selling involving the broader crypto market will sharply reduce trading volumes below the 90-day average, widening spreads and drying up liquidity.
The negative general sentiment resulting from macroeconomic conditions - such as rising bond yields or dollar strength - will weaken investors' appetite for high-risk digital assets.
Regardless of what happens next, the first close outside the current Bollinger pressure may set the tone for movement over the next three months, transforming the current calm in XRP's volatility into a clear direction.
XRP price forecast: converging signals and a critical moment.
Charts, distributed records, and social media indicate a recurring theme: the price is confined within a narrow Bollinger range, while blockchain supply continues to decrease simultaneously with smart contract projects and corporate treasuries holding coins, while the general sentiment remains in a calm balance that could tilt either upward or downward in response to an event.
It is noted that the convergence of these three factors is rare and extremely important as the market rapidly approaches a turning point, where legal clarity, increased liquidity, and increased network demand can reinforce one another or collide.
Thus, traders treating the next 90 days as a data-rich stress test rather than a mere random bet will gain a more precise competitive edge by monitoring whether the price movement maintains stability above $2.34 after the ruling or drops below $2.20, measuring whether the number of active addresses continues to rise as volatility begins, and tracking whether Galaxy Score readings rise with the return of trading volumes.
In short, Ripple's volatility is no longer just a chart noise, but a summary of regulatory risks, actual use cases, and user conviction. Furthermore, the outcome of this power struggle will not solely determine XRP's future but will also set a precedent affecting the broader discussion about the fundamentals that give any digital asset its true and sustainable value.
The post ChatGPT's forecasts about Ripple's price using 42 signals suggest strong movements before the court ruling in the dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The AI model o3 Pro from ChatGPT has just analyzed 42 immediate indicators - starting from TradingView data through Binance's order book and the buzz on social media and news - to provide surprising forecasts about Ripple's price (XRP) currently at $2.20 before the court ruling regarding the dispute between Ripple and the SEC scheduled for June 16, along with imminent institutional reserves of XRP worth $500 million.
With volatility levels dropping to their lowest in 2025, o3 Pro noted that the level of $2.25 represents the pivot point between a price rise towards $2.60 and a drop to $2.10. Despite daily trading volumes exceeding $2.6 billion, the general sentiment among investors is split between positivity and negativity, awaiting the anticipated ruling.
The following analyses relate to the more advanced version of the AI model ChatGPT (o3 Pro), as they have been audited and humanized for easier reading.
A brief overview of AI analyses and predictions regarding Ripple's price.
After starting trading yesterday at $2.33, the price slightly decreased, indicating the presence of exciting technical analysis data, and despite the large volumes of buy and sell orders, key momentum indicators - the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at around 40, and the MACD falling below the signal line - suggest a decrease in traders' risk-taking.
Reading volatility indicators also calls for caution, as one TradingView analysis indicates that 'the convergence of the upper and lower bounds of the Bollinger indicator suggests an increase in price volatility.'
This convergence usually precedes strong price movements, providing high-risk opportunities during the next 90 days.
Financial and fundamental technical data also sparks a wave of enthusiasm, with Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse indicating that XRP could 'capture 14% of SWIFT's transaction volume in the next five years,' just days before the anticipated ruling on June 16 in the case against the SEC.
Considering the first institutional reserves of Ripple worth $500 million, the launch of the USDC stablecoin, and the imminent launch of the Ripple stablecoin RLUSD on the XRPL blockchain, and the continuous active addresses reaching 111,000 daily, blockchain activities appear to be very large (and unusual) compared to Ripple's price movements.
Considering the relative stability of the price, the increasing blockchain activities, and the oscillation of the general sentiment of investors between caution and optimism, the next price direction depends on the order of signal occurrences.
Technical analysis of Ripple's price: forecasts depend on the next movements of currently neutral indicators.
The daily price chart shows that Ripple's price is in the tightest Bollinger Bands ranges since February, indicating the relative stability of the price.
Momentum indicators also confirm this relative stability, with the Relative Strength Index at around 41 - which does not suggest strong price movements - and the MACD oscillating slightly near zero after falling below the signal line.
Traders are also watching the cross of the 50-day EMA (EMA-50) with its 100-day counterpart (EMA-100) near the $2.26-$2.27 area, which usually indicates a halt in price increases unless trading volumes increase.
The RSI falling below 50 and above the overbought zone indicates momentum neutrality.
The MACD falling below the signal line indicates selling pressure.
The ATR indicator at 0.0126 indicates daily fluctuations not exceeding 1%, which is unusual for Ripple's price.
The slight increase in the volume-weighted moving average (VWMA-20) indicates slight buying pressure despite the regular moving averages (EMAs) signaling selling pressure.
This relative swing period usually follows strong price movements, but volatility indicators alone cannot determine the direction of this breakout; what will determine it is the short-term price direction and buy and sell order data.
Important support and resistance levels enhance expectations of significant price fluctuations.
According to technical analysis experts, the next support area is at the range of $2.20-$2.23, just above the pivot point of the first support level (Classic Pivot S1) at $2.2208, followed by a stronger support area extending to $2.10, where previous price declines halted twice in April. Conversely, the pivot point for the first resistance level (Classic Pivot R1) is at $2.2446, followed by a resistance area extending from $2.33 to $2.34, which the price has recently failed to surpass.
If the price successfully breaks above $2.24 strongly, it may again align with the middle line of the Bollinger indicator at $2.39, and may continue to rise toward the $2.60 level if trading volumes increase.
If the price falls below $2.20, it may drop to the lower line of the Bollinger indicator at approximately $1.87.
Both EMA-25 and EMA-100 intersect at the level of $2.26, which serves as a pivot point, and closing above or below this level may determine the price direction for the coming week.
The decline in the Average True Range (ATR) indicates that if the price successfully breaks out of this range, its initial movements may be swift and strong, as traders seek to anticipate the court ruling regarding the dispute with the SEC in mid-June.
The reading of Ripple's technical analysis indicators generally invites optimism, with its relative stability continuing and the possibility of an uptick if strong catalysts such as legal clarity or a sudden improvement in macroeconomic conditions are available.
Liquidity and buy and sell order volumes: Can the bulls trigger a new wave of increases?
Large volumes of buy and sell orders and an influx of investments.
Considering Ripple's large market capitalization of $128.50 billion, and looking at its value after all coins are circulated - currently $224 billion - XRP is considered one of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of buy and sell order volumes, preceded by Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
The Binance spot trading market recorded the largest trading volumes for the XRP/USD pair, with total buy and sell order volumes estimated in the tens of millions of dollars without significant price spreads, contributing to easing potential price volatility following the aforementioned court ruling.
Daily trading volume: $2.61 billion, or 2% of the circulating market capitalization, providing significant daily liquidity.
Weekly trading volume: $18.24 billion, indicating the currency continues to attract investments despite the price drop.
Pivot point calculations indicate that the largest trading deals in the previous trading session occurred at around $2.23, reflecting continued buying pressures near the short-term support level.
The rise in VWMA-20 indicates continued buying below the levels of the convergence of the exponential moving averages.
Given this data, major players may increase their speculative positions either long or short - with considerable confidence - without fearing that a drop in order volumes will alter their entry points, enhancing the positive outlook for Ripple's price in the current quarter.
Trading volumes indicate large buying operations.
Despite a drop in trading volumes compared to their high levels in late May, the data indicates a shift from derivatives contracts to spot trading, which is usually followed by a change in price direction. Considering the relative price stability, the data suggests traders are quietly opening positions rather than monitoring momentum.
The increasing share of spot trading markets in total trading volumes indicates a decrease in leverage usage ahead of the SEC decision.
An increase in daily trading volumes above their 90-day average indicates continued interest in this currency despite its relative price stability.
Liquidity levels are likely to concentrate in the buy and sell order charts between $2.15 and $2.25, so any decline towards this range may be met with massive buying offers.
If trading volumes increase and daily trading closes above $2.33, historical data indicates a probability of the price rising to around $2.60.
In short, large volumes of buy and sell orders, coupled with increasing spot trading volumes, enhance the likelihood of significant movements despite the relative stability of the price. We will discuss below the potential for providing blockchain data and the general sentiment on social media as catalysts for these large movements.
Ripple's blockchain activity: does it provide tangible functional uses or is it just rumors?
Ongoing daily activity indicates sustainable demand.
Although Ripple's price volatility has calmed on the charts, the network's production capacity remains active with daily active addresses reaching 111,000 users, significantly higher than the weekly average in 2024, indicating that traders are not just holding coins but using them to transfer value and run applications.
The number of active addresses has not been affected by the recent price drop by 4%, reflecting users' connection to the network.
Transaction patterns align with stablecoin issuance events, indicating increased usage in decentralized finance (DeFi).
Ongoing blockchain activity with price stability distinguishes Ripple from many other blockchain networks, which usually see their activity retreat with decreasing trading volumes of their coins.
The continued large usage of XRP Ledger indicates that the demand for this blockchain is not affected by Ripple's price movements, reducing the risks of liquidity decline in the event of significant price fluctuations.
New catalysts may cause a decrease in Ripple's circulating supply.
Ripple is likely to continue attracting investments due to its functional uses, with Singapore-based Trident Digital announcing the establishment of a $500 million reserve of Ripple, the first of its kind at this scale; while the Flare network integration allocates $100 million of XRP for use in smart contracts across multiple blockchain networks.
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!
Singapore-based Trident Digital (NASDAQ: TDTH) plans to raise $500M to establish the world’s first large-scale corporate #XRP reserve!
On the other hand, competition among stablecoins on the XRP Ledger has increased: the USDC currency has been launched, and Ripple's RLUSD currency will soon be launched.
The establishment of large reserves of this currency indicates that institutions see XRP as one of the strategic reserve assets, not just a speculative tool.
XRP's role on Flare helps lock up many coins within the technical systems of smart contracts, which works to reduce supply on trading platforms.
Transferring USDC and RLUSD requires using Ripple to pay fees, contributing to increased demand for this currency as usage of these stablecoins rises.
According to all of this, these factors may create positive pressures for Ripple's price due to the decrease in circulating supply, alongside macroeconomic catalysts, such as the potential SEC decision.
Blockchain data indicates increased functional use of Ripple, enhancing the positive outlook for XRP price, without being limited to mere hype.
Social media indicators for XRP: Ripple's volatility gauge indicates cautious optimism.
LunarCrush's general sentiment dashboard provides accurate figures about the social sentiment around XRP, and the latest reading indicates slight positivity, with the Galaxy Score for the currency at a value of 56 - slightly above the neutral level - while the currency ranks 173 on the AltRank scale, placing it in the middle of the tracked assets.
Source: LunarCrush
Despite this, total interaction remains massive, with the currency witnessing 10.04 million interactions in 24 hours, indicating an audience that does not settle when new catalysts emerge.
A reading of the Galaxy Score over 50 indicates a slight bullish bias, but it doesn't rise to the large spikes usually followed by sharp reversals in direction.
The average AltRank indicates that XRP is neither the most nor the least attractive currently, which is an ideal situation for a price breakout should new news emerge.
The volume of interaction supports liquidity and is often associated with lower price spreads on major trading platforms.
Historical comparisons show that the currency obtaining a score exceeding 60 on the Galaxy Score, along with increased interactions, generally precedes bullish waves lasting several weeks, a threshold that XRP has not yet reached.
As for traders, these figures indicate that the general sentiment is moderately positive, allowing for a sudden change in XRP price forecasts in the event of significant market developments.
Continuing discussions on social media: high-risk predictions draw attention.
Beyond various metrics, headlines and activities on Twitter reveal the trends driving the community; in the last four hours alone, discussions have shifted from optimism about the currency's adoption to warnings about increasing negative expectations.
Bitcoinist reports, citing Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse just 34 minutes ago: 'XRP is expected to capture 14% of SWIFT's transaction volume.'
BeInCrypto reports a contrary news: 'XRP's price is declining amid the bears' (short sellers) dominance and increasing short speculation,' revealing traders' caution three hours ago.
FXStreet paints a more comprehensive picture from 4 hours ago, stating: 'Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are susceptible to further declines amid decreasing trading volumes.'
On its part, news on Twitter amplifies the risk size, and some examples can be identified:
The Good Morning Crypto account noted that the corporate reserve of XRP reached $500 million, calling it 'breaking news.'
The Moon Lambo account praised the launch of the USDC currency on the Ripple XRPL blockchain, calling it 'amazing news for all XRP holders,' indicating it will raise the total value locked and increase demand for fees.
The Kraken trading platform has excited the 'XRP Army' with an emoji indicating monitoring, showing the platform's interest in the possibility of severe volatility.
This mix of cautious optimism and hedging against declines appears to maintain the balance of general sentiment, creating fertile ground for a sudden move once the SEC ruling is issued, or if any other major market headline forces the market to take a unified stance. Until then, XRP's volatility remains subdued - on both charts and the social scene - awaiting a resurgence of confidence.
The awaited regulatory decision: countdown to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's ruling and its impact on Ripple.
It seems that the legal case that has been pursuing XRP since late 2020 is about to reach a decisive point within five days, as the court has set June 16 as the next - and perhaps final - date in the proceedings of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple Labs, which will determine whether XRP is classified as a security under U.S. law, a classification that could limit its listing on trading platforms and institutional access.
BREAKING: $XRP attorney Bill Morgan says we could see a breakthrough in the Ripple vs. SEC battle within 9 days—as the SEC’s 60-day window closes 6/16.
Full resolution could be as early as June 13, 2025.
This could be the moment the #XRPArmy have for.
Bullish pic.twitter.com/WLVIC2Ydmx
--- Armando Pantoja (@_TallGuyTycoon) June 7, 2025
On the other hand, a ruling in favor of Ripple will confirm the currency's classification as a commodity, paving the way for wider adoption in the United States. The issuance of the decision coincides with corporate treasuries experimenting with creating a reserve of XRP worth $500 million, as stablecoin issuers transition to the XRP Ledger, which amplifies the impact of any forthcoming legal clarity.
Potential scenarios for the ruling and its impact on the market: complete victory for Ripple.
XRP will escape classification as a security, opening the door for its re-listing on major trading platforms and U.S. brokerage applications.
Price movement may begin to accelerate, leading to a clear breakout above the range of $2.33-$2.34, potentially targeting the $2.60 area, which is the next liquidity level.
The impact of this positive precedent may extend to other altcoins used in payment operations, leading to narrower price spreads and increased money flow into the sector.
Partial victory/settlement.
A negotiated solution could involve a fine without classifying current sales as securities.
Markets are likely to welcome the decrease in delayed penalty risks, but the upward trend may temporarily halt near the middle band of the Bollinger Band at $2.39 until the precise conditions for settlement become clear.
If the fine on Ripple is less than expected, the remaining funds may be used to support demand for the currency through strategic buybacks or technical system grants.
Victory for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Classifying XRP as a security will remove it from U.S. trading platforms, at which point liquidity from external platforms will prevail.
The price may drop below the nearest support level at $2.20, heading toward the increasing demand area at $2.10.
Increased legal uncertainty regarding similar coins could lead to greater risk differentials in the entire market, increasing XRP's volatility.
Regardless of the outcome, the decision is expected to trigger a wave of volatility exceeding the baseline of the Average True Range (ATR) at 0.0126, similar to previous price fluctuations resulting from the legal case.
Therefore, traders accustomed to the current calm in XRP trading should prepare for violent fluctuations in the order book and price spreads, while algorithms race to determine prices considering regulatory risks within seconds of the ruling's issuance.
XRP price forecasts for the next three months: potential scenarios and key levels.
Base scenario: relative stability within a defined range.
With ongoing current pressures and no ruling from Washington yet, the most likely path is relative stability within the range of $2.10-$2.60.
Technical indicators cautiously favor the bearish scenario, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading below 50, and the MACD under the signal line, but without signs of losing hope, while the actual use of the currency on the blockchain continues to reduce its available supply in the market.
The price faces initial resistance at $2.24 (the pivot point R1), and the core supply area (where a large amount of supply exists) between $2.33-$2.34.
Support is located at $2.20, backed by pending buy orders and the liquidity concentration shown in supply and demand charts.
The convergence of the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA50/100) around $2.26 forms a price pivot point, where closing above it indicates a tendency towards upward momentum, whereas closing below it indicates a tendency towards decline.
The expected daily range according to the 14-day Average True Range (ART 14) remains at 1% until a catalyst appears that expands this range.
This base scenario expects volatile movements punctuated by short spikes, providing greater benefits to short-term traders than to trend followers.
Price breakout catalysts and risk factors.
Certainty regarding the future direction depends on several clear catalysts, as the SEC’s issuance of a decisive ruling or the increase of stablecoins on XRPL or rising macroeconomic risks could determine whether the tide will turn to the bulls or the bears.
Bullish catalysts.
Ripple's victory in court: will lead to the immediate re-listing of the currency on U.S. platforms, targeting the middle band of the Bollinger Band at $2.39 and its extension at $2.60.
A continuous rise in active addresses, along with the integration of the Flare network worth $100 million, reducing circulating supply.
The Galaxy Score indicator rises above 60 in conjunction with increased social interaction, resembling what occurred during previous price breakout periods.
Bearish catalysts.
Classifying the currency as a security will lead to its removal from trading platforms, which will pressure the support level of $2.20 and open the way for a price decline toward testing support at $2.10.
A wave of selling involving the broader crypto market will sharply reduce trading volumes below the 90-day average, widening spreads and drying up liquidity.
The negative general sentiment resulting from macroeconomic conditions - such as rising bond yields or dollar strength - will weaken investors' appetite for high-risk digital assets.
Regardless of what happens next, the first close outside the current Bollinger pressure may set the tone for movement over the next three months, transforming the current calm in XRP's volatility into a clear direction.
XRP price forecast: converging signals and a critical moment.
Charts, distributed records, and social media indicate a recurring theme: the price is confined within a narrow Bollinger range, while blockchain supply continues to decrease simultaneously with smart contract projects and corporate treasuries holding coins, while the general sentiment remains in a calm balance that could tilt either upward or downward in response to an event.
It is noted that the convergence of these three factors is rare and extremely important as the market rapidly approaches a turning point, where legal clarity, increased liquidity, and increased network demand can reinforce one another or collide.
Thus, traders treating the next 90 days as a data-rich stress test rather than a mere random bet will gain a more precise competitive edge by monitoring whether the price movement maintains stability above $2.34 after the ruling or drops below $2.20, measuring whether the number of active addresses continues to rise as volatility begins, and tracking whether Galaxy Score readings rise with the return of trading volumes.
In short, Ripple's volatility is no longer just a chart noise, but a summary of regulatory risks, actual use cases, and user conviction. Furthermore, the outcome of this power struggle will not solely determine XRP's future but will also set a precedent affecting the broader discussion about the fundamentals that give any digital asset its true and sustainable value.
The post ChatGPT's forecasts about Ripple's price using 42 signals suggest strong movements before the court ruling in the dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
