Will the markets be able to contain the repercussions of the geopolitical escalation?
#IsraelIranConflict
Following the airstrike carried out by Israel within Iranian territory, which the Israeli defense minister described as a "preemptive strike", global markets face a critical challenge: will they succeed in containing the repercussions of this sudden geopolitical escalation?
These tensions immediately cast a shadow over market indicators, as oil prices rose while Asian stocks and U.S. stock futures declined, and the dollar began to recover its previous losses as investors increasingly leaned towards shedding high-risk assets.
The coming hours will determine the fate of the market: Scenarios for Iran's response
Analysts believe that the next few days will be crucial in determining the market direction. News headlines concerning the Israeli strike have reignited geopolitical fears, and the continuation of this cautious mood depends on the nature of Tehran's reaction over the next 24 to 48 hours.
Scenario one: Limited containment
If Iran's response is limited and energy flows remain uninterrupted, historical experience suggests that the risk wave may fade quickly. In such cases, markets tend to absorb initial shocks and return to their baseline trajectory.
Scenario two: Escalation and volatility.
Conversely, any indication of a significant retaliatory response