Will the markets be able to contain the repercussions of the geopolitical escalation?

Following the airstrike carried out by Israel within Iranian territory, which the Israeli Defense Minister described as a "preemptive strike," global markets are facing a critical challenge: will they succeed in containing the repercussions of this sudden geopolitical escalation?

These tensions immediately cast a shadow over market indicators, as oil prices rose, while Asian stocks and U.S. stock futures saw a decline, and the dollar began to recover its previous losses as investors increasingly leaned toward shedding high-risk assets.

The hours ahead will determine the fate of the market: Scenarios of the Iranian response

Analysts believe that the next few days will be pivotal in determining the market direction. Headlines covering the Israeli strike have reignited geopolitical concerns, and the continuation of this cautious mood depends on the nature of Tehran's response in the next 24 to 48 hours.

Scenario One: Limited Containment

If the Iranian response is limited and energy flows continue uninterrupted, historical experience suggests that the wave of risk may fade quickly. In such cases, markets tend to absorb initial shocks and return to their fundamental path.

Scenario Two: Escalation and Volatility.