#以色列伊朗冲突
A cannon sounded in the Middle East, and the cryptocurrency market collapsed instantly!
Early this morning, Israel suddenly launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, causing global risk aversion sentiment to explode. Bitcoin plummeted $2000 in 15 minutes, and Ethereum directly fell below the $2500 mark, with over $1 billion liquidated across the network in 24 hours—what's worse is that a user on Binance liquidated a single position of $200 million; this wave is simply a "mass grave for leveraged traders."
Why does the cryptocurrency market suffer from wars?
Geopolitical conflict is like throwing a bomb into the market, causing funds to madly flee to gold and oil (gold prices surged to $3430, oil prices jumped 6%). And what about the cryptocurrency market? Clearly meant to be “digital gold,” it instead crashed alongside US stocks. To put it bluntly, large funds currently only recognize “true safe havens” and do not believe that altcoins can withstand risks. Additionally, the market had previously reached full leverage (unsettled BTC contracts rose 18% in a week), and the whales took advantage of the news to crash the market and harvest profits, leaving retail investors with no chance to escape.
What’s the future outlook? Three scenarios in brief:
Optimistic scenario: If the US and Iran reach an agreement over the weekend, BTC could climb back to $108,000, but don’t expect a V-shaped recovery; Neutral scenario: Both sides fire a few missiles but do not escalate the conflict, BTC hovers around $105,000; Pessimistic scenario: Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, BTC could directly plunge below $90,000, so be ready with bags to catch falling knives.
Response:
In the short term, avoid high leverage! Keep enough bullets to wait for stabilization signals (for example, a 15% surge in USDT trading volume indicates that off-market funds are waiting for opportunities). In the long term, blockchain cross-border payments are expected to grow by 47% this year, and El Salvador is still crazily accumulating coins; the crash is actually a window for long-term positioning.
