Every time there is a battle, Bitcoin $BTC will drop significantly, without exception! On the morning of June 13, news came that Israel struck Iran, leading to a massive drop!

Accurately predicting the bottom at 102000-103000.

On the morning of June 13 in XXX, I urged fans to add positions for shorting! Reminded that it would drop to 102000-103000 before a decent rebound, and real-time evidence proved I was right again:


In xxx, I notified that it had hit the daily Bollinger lower band at 102570, suggesting to take profit on short positions and wait for the next rebound!

Why do I believe that 102000-103000 is the stage bottom?

(1) The daily Bollinger lower band at midnight is around 102570! The trend of January 2025 is such that every time it drops from the daily Bollinger upper band to the lower band, there must be a rebound; this is a very obvious rule! Careful friends can grasp it!

(2) From a technical perspective, on the morning of June 13, I mentioned in the analysis chart [the decline was along the purple-red Gann angle line and would not effectively break below the orange Gann angle line too much]. There are many examples of V rebounds at the support of Gann angle lines, everyone has witnessed it! Do you think Gann angle lines are powerful? As long as you master them well, they can help your assets soar!

Accurately grasping the three rising segments.

(1) On the evening of June 13, I pointed out [because Bitcoin was only about 200 dollars away from my expected rebound position, and the rebound wave is a double zigzag adjustment wave that has already closed a loop, the rebound has the possibility of ending], while emphasizing [because the 30-minute MACD had not formed a dead cross, and it was too far from the 4-hour and 6-hour BBIs, with V rebound potential, there is still a possibility of evolving into a larger three-wave rise]!

(2) On the evening of June 13, Bitcoin suddenly plummeted, I still insisted that [because the 30-minute MACD had not formed a dead cross, there was still a possibility of evolving into a larger three-wave rise], so I urged everyone to wait! Just when I was about to sleep, the V rebound finally came, indicating a formal evolution into a larger third wave rise! Rebound targets: 105829.88-106057-106334-106888. It will not effectively exceed 106888, as this is where the green Gann angle line provides resistance.

(3) At 23:20 on June 13, I updated the analysis chart for the last time:

[Newbie Learning Points Community Bitcoin Market Analysis 20250613 23:20]$BTC

(1) All rebounds are paper tigers; we are in a bear market, don't listen to BTC's nonsense!

(2) The most likely script going forward is as follows: On June 10, 110530.17 entered the Y wave decline, predicting a drop to 98000-100000 by June 17, followed by a rebound and continuing down to around 92000 from July 2 to July 6 to end the Y wave.

Then the XX wave rebounded to 98000.

98000 starts the Z wave to fall to August, target in the 80s.

(3) The entire Y wave ends with 5 segments of decline, the internal structure is wxyxz adjustment wave, where the black line is the Y-W wave.

(4) In the morning prediction: [The Y-W-Z wave is a double zigzag adjustment wave, declining along the purple-red Gann angle line and will not effectively break below the orange Gann angle line too much, the daily Bollinger lower band at 102664.31 could be the endpoint of the Y-W-Z wave]. This has already been realized, indeed the Gann angle line is powerful!

(5) The Y-X wave is divided into three rising segments, the first rising segment is a double zigzag adjustment wave. During the evening's fake-out, I still insisted there was a possibility of evolving into a third rising segment (because the 30-minute MACD had not formed a dead cross, and it was too far from the 4-hour and 6-hour BBIs, with V rebound potential), and indeed, before sleeping, the V happened!

Rebound targets: 105829.88-106057-106334-106888.

It will not effectively exceed 106888, as this is where the green Gann angle line provides resistance.

This is a 1-hour level rebound. The sign that the rebound has ended is when the 1-hour MACD forms a dead cross. If the MACD shows divergence in 30 minutes + dead cross, then the end of the rebound can be anticipated in advance.

(6) Then on June 17, the Y-Y wave continued to crash down to 98000-100000 to end.

Then the Y-XX rebound reached around 100000-102000-103000.

Finally, the Y-Z wave crashed down to around 92000 from July 2 to 6.

The analysis above is from June 13 yesterday, I first shared it in xxx, by the time you see it, it is already 8:00 AM on June 14. No one looks at posts at night, scheduling them for morning will allow more people to see them; also, posting too frequently in a day can lead to restrictions, so posts are now changed to scheduled publishing. For real-time updates, please check xxx.

How to learn technical analysis and copy homework?


Recently, my control over details has been extremely precise! Why can I repeatedly boast successfully? You can read my original articles (sharing my predictions about the peak on May 23, the second peak on June 2, the bottom at 100718 on June 6, the peak on June 11, and the crash on June 17! Remember to copy the homework!) Study well, copy the homework well, and you too can boast with others!

Finally, I suggest that everyone should study well the key concepts in the chart I highlighted, such as [a high win-rate trading model], [wave theory], [Chande theory], [Gann theory], and [Wyckoff trading method], so that your boasting skills will be even higher!

To forge iron, one must be strong oneself; only by improving cognition can one successfully navigate through bull and bear markets. We emphasize the sharing of knowledge, cultivate independent thinking, learn and accumulate during bear markets, and make ourselves the dreams of others during bull markets. We welcome like-minded individuals who resonate with the values of the Newbie Learning Points Community and are willing to learn and cultivate independent thinking abilities; only when you convert this knowledge and skill into your own accumulation can you have the ability to think independently and avoid becoming a naive investor!

#以色列伊朗冲突 #加密市场回调 #早盘策略