#TrumpTariffs | Trump relaunches the trade war and threatens even higher tariffs: Will your $BTC plummet or take advantage of the flight to "digital gold"? Ready to play smart while the crowd panics?
1. Explosive fundamental analysis
Donald Trump recently announced massive tariffs (up to 50%) on various imports (EU, China, etc.), rekindling fears of global trade escalation. These measures can fuel inflation (increased import costs) and increase uncertainty in supply chains, forcing investors to reconsider their positions in risky assets. However, Bitcoin oscillates between being perceived as an alternative safe haven and being considered as a high risk: on the one hand, a dollar weakened by inflation can attract those looking to protect themselves in BTC; on the other, a global panic can trigger panic selling, hitting the most volatile assets first. Ignoring these macro levers means risking entering at the wrong time or missing out on a surprise rally.
2. Quick Tutorial: “2 Ways to Protect Yourself When Trump Unleashes Tariffs”
Basic Hedging:
Partial short position: Dare to sell a small percentage if you anticipate a short-term crash. Example: If Bitcoin falls below $108,000 after the tariff announcement, a calibrated short (2–3% of the portfolio) can limit the damage.
Stablecoins ($USDC , $USDT ): Keep a pocket of stablecoins to buy back lower, in order to hedge part of your BTC exposure without tying up too much margin.
BTC/indices correlation monitoring:
Cross-Alerts: Set your alerts to react to major movements in the S&P 500 or MSCI indices: historical data shows that a stock market crash can precede a sharp crypto pullback.
Time Lag: Bitcoin often correlates with stocks in a slightly unrelated time lag. Identify whether the stock market crash starts before or at the same time as the crypto crash to adjust your exposure earlier or exit before a major panic. barrons.com.
3. Breaking news & strong opinion
When the latest 50% tariffs on European imports were announced, Bitcoin plummeted below $108,000 within hours. Some traders were selling in succession, fearing an imminent recession, while others saw this drop as a missed all-in. My opinion: Bitcoin could initially correct sharply—algos and stop-losses trigger—then rebound if the dollar weakens sufficiently and investors seek refuge outside the traditional banking system. Those who panic sell, those who see the macro-free dynamic are ready to accumulate at bargain prices. Which camp do you want to be on?
4. Trading strategy & iron psychology
Defined Scenarios: Before each major announcement, establish two clear scenarios:
Optimistic: Pricing weakens dollar, Bitcoin rebounds (retracement target or new local high).Pessimistic: global panic, massive dump towards $70–75k, then possible rebound later.
Respect these scenarios: enter your long or short only if your conditions (price, volumes, indicators) are validated.Strict stop-losses: Don't let your emotions push you into making a move without a plan. For example, if you buy a bounce at $90,000 after pricing, place a stop loss below key support (e.g., $85,000 based on a multi-timeframe structure) to avoid a liquidation cascade.
Calibrated size: Never sacrifice more than 5% of your capital on a hedge or price reaction speculation. Even if volatility roars, you must be able to stay in play for the hypothetical rebound.
Emotional mastery: The headlines "Trump's tariffs are even heavier" are meant to shock. Don't give in to the crowd effect. Keep a trading journal where every decision in response to the announcement is noted (rationalization vs. emotion). Learn from these sequences to strengthen your discipline.
⚠️ This is not financial advice, do your own research and manage your risk.