FBS, a leading global broker, has published a new expert analysis examining how macroeconomic shifts, particularly the normalization of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, may create opportunities for the growth of the cryptocurrency market in 2025.
After two years of an inverted yield curve — a widely tracked recession signal — the spread between the yields of 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is beginning to recover. FBS analysts believe that this development could mark a turning point for investor sentiment and market liquidity, with digital assets being among the first to benefit.
Historically, the normalization of the yield curve coincides with expectations of falling interest rates as central banks prepare to support a slowing economy. In the current cycle, declining inflation and increasing political pressure on the Federal Reserve are fueling expectations for a move towards lower interest rates. This is already reflected in market pricing, and cryptocurrency markets are taking note.

"Periods of monetary policy easing have often been strong catalysts for digital assets," explains the FBS team. "We saw this clearly in 2020 when Bitcoin rose over 500% following the Fed's rate cuts. As inflation slows and investor confidence returns, cryptocurrency may enter a new growth cycle."

The report highlights that Bitcoin has formed a bullish technical pattern — a cup with a handle, with a key resistance level at $105,000. A breakout could open the door for a rally to $157,000 or even $240,000. At the same time, altcoins are showing signs of life, and the altcoin season index indicates a potential shift in momentum away from Bitcoin's dominance.

Although short-term volatility remains a risk, FBS analysts emphasize that macro signals from bond markets to CPI trends now indicate a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies and other risk-sensitive assets.

Users can read the full breakdown of the market and cryptocurrency forecast in the latest FBS analysis.
About FBS

FBS is a global brand uniting several independent brokerage companies under FSC (Belize), CySEC (Cyprus), and ASIC (Australia) licenses. With 16 years of experience and over 100 international awards, FBS continues to grow as one of the most reliable brokers in the market. Today, FBS serves over 27,000,000 traders and more than 700,000 partners worldwide.

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