#IsraelIranConflict

The Israel-Iran conflict has escalated into a full-blown crisis, with both countries exchanging direct attacks. Here's what's happening:

- *Recent Escalation*: Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, targeting Iran's nuclear infrastructure, missile factories, and top military personnel. The strikes reportedly killed high-ranking Iranian officials, including Revolutionary Guards Commander Hossein Salami and prominent nuclear scientists.

- *Causes of the Conflict*: The conflict is rooted in ideology, security threats, and competing visions for the Middle East. Israel sees Iran as a significant threat due to its nuclear ambitions and support for anti-Israel groups like Hezbollah and Hamas. Iran, on the other hand, positions itself as a leader of the anti-Israel resistance.

- *US Involvement*: Although the US has officially distanced itself from the operation, it remains invested in preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons and managing the broader fallout. The US has repositioned military personnel in the region and issued travel advisories.

*Possible Outcomes:*

- *Retaliation*: Iran has vowed a "harsh blow" against Israel and the US, with potential targets including military sites, installations, and civilian cities.

- *Escalation*: The conflict could spiral into a wider regional war, with the US and other major powers potentially getting involved.

- *Diplomatic Efforts*: US-Iran nuclear talks, scheduled for June 15 in Oman, may be affected by the escalation.

*Expert Opinions:*

- *Andrea Stricker*: Disabling Iran's nuclear facilities would require multiple days of bombing runs with heavy bunker buster bombs.

- *Rodger Shanahan*: Iran may target Israeli military bases or civilian population areas, potentially leading to a "death spiral."

- *Mara Rudman*: The conflict could lead to a long and extended campaign with Iran responding in various ways.¹