At #以色列伊朗冲突 , a cannon fired in the Middle East, and the cryptocurrency market instantly collapsed!

In the early hours today, Israel suddenly launched an airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities, causing global risk aversion sentiment to explode. Bitcoin plummeted by $2000 in 15 minutes, and Ethereum fell below the $2500 mark; over $1 billion was liquidated across the network in 24 hours - the most brutal was a Binance user who lost $200 million in a single trade; this wave was simply a 'collective cremation ground for leveraged players'.

Why does war affect the cryptocurrency market?

Geopolitical conflicts are like throwing a bomb into the market, with funds madly fleeing towards gold and oil (gold prices soared to $3430, oil prices jumped 6%). And the cryptocurrency market? It should have been the 'digital gold', but it fell alongside the US stock market. In plain terms, large funds now only recognize 'real safe havens' and do not believe that altcoins can resist risk. Coupled with the previous market leverage being maxed out (BTC open contracts increased by 18% in a week), manipulators took advantage of the news to crash the market and harvest profits, leaving retail investors with no chance to escape.

What’s the future? Three scenarios explained:

Optimistic scenario: If the US and Iran reach an agreement over the weekend, BTC could touch $108,000, but don't expect a V-shaped reversal;

Neutral scenario: Both sides fire a few missiles but do not escalate the conflict, BTC hovers around $105,000;

Pessimistic scenario: Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, BTC crashes through $90,000, and those looking to buy the dip should prepare their bags to catch the falling knife.