#IsraelIranConflict Israel–Iran Conflict: Background and Current Situation

The conflict between Israel and Iran is strategic, ideological, and geopolitical in nature. Although there has been no open war between these countries, relations remain extremely tense and are characterized by proxy wars, cyberattacks, and sporadic military incidents.

Origins of the Conflict

After the Islamic Revolution in 1979, Iran ceased to recognize Israel as a state and adopted a radically anti-Israeli rhetoric. Tehran supports organizations deemed by Israel (and many Western countries) as terrorist, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon or Hamas in the Gaza Strip. Iran's goal is to increase its influence in the region and weaken Israel as a U.S. ally.

Contemporary Tensions

In recent years, the conflict has escalated:

Iran is developing its nuclear program, which Israel perceives as an existential threat. Israel has been repeatedly accused of sabotaging Iranian nuclear facilities and assassinating Iranian scientists.

Israel conducts airstrikes on Iranian-linked targets in Syria to limit the supply of weapons to Hezbollah.

In 2024 and 2025, an increase in the intensity of clashes was observed, including remote drone attacks, cyberattacks, and exchanges of fire between allies of both sides (mainly Hezbollah and the IDF).

Potential Scenarios

1. Escalation to a regional war – particularly if Iran crosses the “red line” in its nuclear program or if Israel decides to launch a direct attack.

2. Continuation of a hybrid war – a likely scenario in which the conflict continues through indirect confrontations and intelligence operations.

3. Diplomatic de-escalation – unlikely but possible in the context of the changing geopolitical situation and international pressure.