【Current situation of multi-air meat grinder】
BTC is currently priced at $104,847.9 and is facing a triple purgatory test:
Bullish charge signal:
Short-term accumulation of power to impact the first pressure level of 106,000
Key volume support: 4 consecutive orders of 10,000 dollars at the price of 104,848
Short Nuclear Ambush:
The second pressure point of 107,000 saw a huge amount of selling (the commission ratio was -0.30%, confirming the main force's intention to suppress)
Historical locked-in area: 107,344.6 price (61.8% Fibonacci resistance), once liquidated 600 million in one day
The dark truth:
The market maker took advantage of the Middle East panic to play a "double kill"! First pull the market to lure more buyers and then smash the market to liquidate the warehouse - the chart shows that 334 short orders (equivalent to 350 million US dollars) have been ambushed in advance at the price of 106,021.8
[Ultimate deduction: Trend after breaking 106000]
Scenario 1: Blitzkrieg to break 107,000 (20% probability)
Conditions: Israel withdraws troops + US approves Bitcoin ETF options
Trend: Breaking through the 107,000 selling wall with large volume, approaching 110,000 (target 11663.6 at the top of the chart)
Retail investor strategy: chasing the rise of $MSTR (MicroStrategy stock), long BTC perpetual with leverage
Scenario 2: False Breakthrough Massacre (80% probability)
Conditions: Iran's late-night missile strike + BlackRock's reduction of holdings and on-chain changes
Trend: It hit 107,000 and then fell back to 104,800 (the selling density of the second pressure point in the figure is 78.6%)
Retail investors counterattack: open short at 106,980, stop loss at 107,500, target at 104,000
【Periodic Table of the Impact of the Middle East War】
Short term (0-72 hours):
Missile attack → BTC drops 8%-12% (refer to the drop in Iran in April)
Ceasefire negotiations → retaliatory rebound 15%+
Mid-term (1-2 weeks):
War stalemate → continued high volatility, 106,000-102,000 box shock
Oil embargo → Crude oil surge boosts energy mining stocks ($HIVE, $RIOT)
Long term (1 month+):
If Israel invades on the ground → Safe haven funds flow into BTC, $100,000 becomes the new bottom
If nuclear facilities are attacked → Global stock market crash leads to cryptocurrency collapse, testing 90,000 support
[Level 3 Survival Guide for Retail Investors]
Pre-war layout (must do tonight):
106,000 warehouse delivery: sell 30% of the position when the price breaks (to prevent false breakthrough)
Hedge order: Long crude oil token OIL-USDT (war premium + 30%)
Needle embedding artifact: place a limit buy order at 102,614 (0.0% Fibonacci support in the figure)
Response during war (when news breaks):
See Missile News → Immediately close long and open short (use 5x leverage)
See ceasefire news → Buy BTC mining stocks ($CLSK) with full positions
Post-war harvest (after the ceasefire agreement):
Heavy investment in AI crypto ($RNDR, $TAO) → Post-war reconstruction computing power demand surges
#以色列伊朗冲突
The current market is turbulent, walking alone is lonely, pay attention to Tieying, the top team supports, and only serves ambitious lunatics
$BTC
