#IsraelIranConflict $BTC

Timeline of Bitcoin Drops & Recoveries

June 12–13, 2025: Geopolitical Flashpoint

• June 12 (Late): Media outlets report Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites near Tehran and Tabriz. BTC plunges ~4–5%, from ~$108.5K to a low around $103K–$104K .

• June 13 (Early): Prices briefly slip to ~$102.8K . The selloff wipes ~$140 billion from crypto capitalization .

Liquidation Avalanche

• Over $1.0–1.2 billion wiped out in 24 hours across futures markets, including ~$427M in BTC long-liquidations and ~$19M in shorts .

• Binance reports ~$1 billion in total liquidations, with ~$650 M in long positions targeted—echoing accusations of market-maker predation .

Market-Maker Manipulation?

• A Binance Square post alleges market-makers orchestrated the liquidation spike to profit from long squeezes, describing them as “predators” engineering price swings .

• Reddit threads echo skepticism:

“Market makers using news to manipulate the market as always.”  

Recovery Phase

• Short-term rebound (~Jun 14–15): Historically, BTC tends to rebound significantly within 48 hrs after geopolitical shocks .

• Analysts (Decrypt) observe repeat patterns: geopolitical sell-offs often reverse sharply once tensions cool, offering buying opportunities .

• Institutional reserves bolster confidence: BlackRock continued adding BTC/ETH even during volatility .

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🧭 Interpreting the Moves: Causes & Mechanics

1. Geopolitical Risk-Off

Conflict triggered global risk aversion: crypto, equities, and oil moved in sync—oil and gold rose, risk assets sold off .

2. Liquidation Cascade

Leveraged long positions were hit first. When BTC dipped below key support, margin calls triggered liquidations worth hundreds of millions, deepening the fall.

3. Market‑Maker Tactics

Some claim that market-makers amplify volatility by pushing price down to trigger large liquidations, then buying back in—an accusation highlighted by Binance Square and Reddi