If the US and Iran reach an agreement over the weekend, BTC could touch 108,000 dollars, but do not expect a V-shaped reversal; Neutral scenario: Both sides fire a few missiles but do not escalate the conflict, BTC hovers around 105,000; Pessimistic scenario: Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, BTC directly crashes through 90,000 dollars, prepare bags to catch the falling knife.

Response:

In the short term, avoid high leverage! Keep some bullets ready for stabilization signals (for example, a 15% surge in USDT trading volume indicates that off-market funds are waiting for opportunities). In the long term, cross-border payments in blockchain are expected to grow by 47% this year, and El Salvador is still hoarding coins like crazy; a sharp drop could actually be a window for long-term positioning.