$BTC
📉 BTC/USDT Analysis – 1H Timeframe (June 13, 2025)
Current Price: $104,485
24h High: $108,450
24h Low: $102,664
Market Structure: Bearish bias remains intact. A sharp sell-off took BTC to $102,664, followed by a weak corrective bounce.
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📌 Key Observations:
1. Recent Price Action:
• Quick decline from ~$108K to ~$102.6K.
• The current rebound appears corrective, lacking strong bullish follow-through and volume support.
2. Resistance Zones:
• Minor resistance around $105,160.
• Stronger supply zone at $106,600, which coincides with a prior breakdown area.
3. Volume Profile:
• Heavy selling volume observed during the breakdown.
• Follow-up buying volume remains soft — indicating low bullish conviction.
4. Short-Term MA Crossover:
• The 5-period MA has crossed below the 10-period MA.
• This confirms a short-term bearish signal.
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📊 Trade Setup – Short Bias (High-Risk, Technical Play):
Entry Zone: $105,100–$105,600 (ideal on rejection candles or lower high setups)
Stop-Loss: Above $106,800 (above supply + invalidation)
Target 1: $102,600 (recent low)
Target 2: $100,800 (next key demand zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 (to Target 2)
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⚠️ Invalidation Condition:
A strong hourly close above $107K with high volume would invalidate the short idea and suggest buyers regaining control.