$ETH The main impacts of the Israel-Iran conflict on the world economy include:
1. **Oil Price Fluctuations**: The conflict threatens shipping in the Persian Gulf (which accounts for one-third of global maritime oil routes), potentially driving up oil prices and exacerbating global inflation.
2. **Safe-Haven Sentiment**: Capital flows into the US dollar and gold, increasing outflow pressure from emerging markets.
3. **Trade Disruptions**: The risk in key shipping lanes (the Strait of Hormuz) rises, increasing shipping costs and insurance premiums.
4. **Market Panic**: Global stock markets experience increased volatility, risk assets come under pressure, and companies delay investment decisions.
The extent of the short-term impact depends on whether the conflict escalates; if it continues to widen, it could trigger energy crises and stagflation risks.