I just saw a person in the square who said he wanted to short eth - Figure 1. I typed up some comments. Later I thought about it and deleted it. I gave the idea to friends who follow me. It may not be correct and is for reference only.
My reply and thoughts——
"The logic is not self-consistent! If it passes, the "hedging funds" will flow back to the big pie. If you want to avoid this risk, you must go to the big pie to avoid danger. How can you go to the king of copycats, eth, to avoid danger? First, once it passes, btc will be very It is possible that it will not rise but fall, but eth will most likely rise. Cancun and eth etf, which are closely followed, are both good topics and hot spots. If it does not pass, the probability will be the same, because eth has not risen so much before. , so I personally feel that once there is a correction, the magnitude will be relatively small. To sum up, the profit-loss ratio of shorting eth is not high and the risk is relatively high."
On the contrary, I think it is more important to increase investment in eth, eth ecology, and L2 series at this time. Maybe it is my personal butt that determines my head.
I still prefer and hope for the second script - Picture 2! 🥹
