6/13 BTC ETH 4 Hour Market:

Breakdown and decline, defensive trading strategy 1. Market Interpretation BTC 4-hour chart shows that the price has broken below the Bollinger middle band and moving average support (EMA10/52/24), accompanied by a volume spike in the decline, releasing bearish momentum.

Currently around 104106, the lower Bollinger band 105218 has been breached, indicating a short-term bearish outlook, with attention on the previous support at 102000. If this is lost, further downside to the 100000 integer mark is expected.

ETH also shows a breakdown and decline, with the price falling below the Bollinger middle band and moving averages, entering a weak consolidation phase after a significant drop in volume.

Currently around 2503, the lower 2400 is a key previous support level. If breached, it may test 2300, while a rebound should be monitored for resistance at 2600.

2. Precise Entry Points BTC Strategy Short (continuation of trend) Entry: Price rebounds to the range of 105000 - 105500, encountering resistance and closing with a bearish candle (such as a Evening Star, long upper shadow), with volume not effectively expanding.

Stop Loss: Above 106500 (stop loss on breakthrough pressure).

Take Profit: First target 102000 (take profit 60% at support), if breached look for 100000 (take profit 30% additionally), remaining 10% for a bet on an oversold rebound.

Long (betting on oversold, extremely cautious) Entry: Price quickly rebounds after a volume drop below 102000, closing with a long lower shadow, and showing a bottom divergence on the hourly chart.

Stop Loss: Below 101000 (if it breaks the previous low, the trend remains unchanged).

Take Profit: 104000 - 105000 (light position participation, take profits when favorable).

ETH Strategy Short (bearish dominance) Entry: Rebounds to the range of 2550 - 2600, faces pressure and retreats (MACD death cross continues).

Stop Loss: Above 2650 (stop loss on breakthrough pressure). Take Profit: 2400 - 2450 (take profit at support, if breached look for 2350).

Long (oversold repair) Entry: Price stabilizes above 2550, and the hourly chart shows a volume surge and a bullish candle.

Stop Loss: Below 2500 (if breached then stop loss). Take Profit: 2600 - 2650 (take profit at resistance, light position betting).

3. Core Logic Currently, both BTC and ETH are in a breakdown and declining trend, with bearish dominance. Trading primarily focuses on shorting with the trend, supplemented by cautious long positions in oversold conditions (extremely light positions), with strict stop losses to avoid holding against the trend.