š„ The Showdown Escalates:
President Trump launched a blistering attack on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, branding him a ānumbskullā for refusing to slash interest rates despite āgreatā inflation data. Trump demands a full 1% cut calling it āRocket Fuelā for the economy and threatened: āI may have to force somethingā if the Fed doesnāt comply .
šø Hidden Agenda? Debt Relief!
Trump claims a 2% rate cut would save the U.S. $600 billion/year in interest on national debt. But economists slam this as misguided: Treasury yields (set by markets) ā Fed rates . Truth: The Fedās mandate is price stability, not deficit management.
āļø Behind the War:
1. āMr. Too Lateā vs. āGeniusā: Trump mocks Powellās caution as āmonetary malpracticeā , while VP JD Vance echoes: āThe Fedās refusal to cut is reckless!ā .
2. Tariff Time Bomb: The Fed fears Trumpās trade policies could spike inflation to 3.5% by December (Goldman Sachs). Mayās mild CPI (2.4%) is a calm before the storm as tariff impacts loom .
3. Political Pressure Peak: Trump admits he wonāt fire Powell (āI donāt know why itād be so badā¦ā), but will replace him in 2026.
š Fedās Unshakeable Stance:
No cuts until September? Markets price a 76% chance for a Sept cut ā but near-zero odds for June/July.
Why wait? Powell needs proof tariffs wonāt cause persistent inflation. NY Fed reports already show firms passing tariff costs to consumers.
Risk of rushing: Cutting too soon could reignite inflation, forcing harsher hikes later.
š Crypto & Market Impact:
Dollar dominance at risk? Trump warns high rates hurt USD competitiveness vs. Europeās 10 cuts.
Crypto hedge: If tariffs fuel inflation, Bitcoin could surge as a safe haven. Watch for Fed policy errors!
Borrowing pain: Credit cards at 28.67% (vs. 14.6% in 2021) and mortgages near 6.9% squeeze consumers.
š® Predictions & Explosive Scenarios:
ā Sept 2024 Rate Cut: Likely if summer inflation stays tame (current odds: 76%) .
ā Stagflation Threat: Tariffs + premature cuts could = higher inflation + recession by 2026.
š„ Trumpās āForcedā Action: If elected, expect a dovish Fed Chair pick in 2026 or executive orders challenging Fed independence.
ā ļø Final Warning: This isnāt just politics itās a battle for control over $24 trillion in U.S. debt. The Fedās next move could make or break markets. Stay alert, stack wisely.
(Sources: MrXLove š§ ššš½, Reuters, CNBC, Forbes, NY Post & lil More šš )