#MarketRebound | Here's an ultra-practical summary for scalping in 5–15 minutes and preparing your swing trades on $ADA : precise levels, probabilities, and short explanations. Share your feedback or ideas now!
1. Quick analysis (medium-term swing)
Contexte multi-timeframe :
Weekly/Daily: range 0.62–0.77 USDT, overall neutral-bearish bias while <0.75–0.76.
4H/1H: lower highs/lower lows, price near support ~0.67–0.68.
Key indicators:
Daily & 4H EMAs aligned bearish (price below EMA21/50/200).
RSI/StochRSI close to oversold zone on 1H/4H → potential short-term rebound, but no structural reversal signal yet.
VPVR: major volumetric area ~0.68; strong support before 0.625.
7-day scenarios:
Optimistic (30%): rebound validated >0.70→ test 0.75 if catalyst or strong Bitcoin.
Neutral (50%): swings in the 0.66–0.75 range: long towards 0.70, short towards 0.67.
Bearish (20%): clear break <0.67 → retest 0.63 or even 0.60 if volume is strong.
2. Setups Intraday (5–15 min)
=>Long :
Entry Zone: 0.680–0.682 USDT
TP1 : 0.685 (EMA21/50 15 min & VPVR)
TP2: 0.688–0.689 (intermediate resistance + EMA200)
Probability ~55% (bounce on support + oversold StochRSI)
=>Short :
Entry: break & close 5 min <0.679 (ideal 0.678–0.677)
TP1: 0.674
TP2 : 0,670
Probability ~50% (support break + bearish momentum)
=>Breakout triggers :
Long break :Si prix clôture 5 min >0,6875 , TP1 0,691, TP2 0,695.
Short break : Si prixclôture 5 min <0,679 , TP1 0,674, TP2 0,670.
Ultra-short justification: based on range structure, oversold or momentum indicators, and VPVR/EMA confluences.
3. Supports & Resistances (confluence VPVR, EMA, pivots)
Major Resistance: 0.690–0.693 (4H/1H EMA, weekly range top)
Intermediate resistance: 0.686–0.688 (EMA21/50 15min–1h)
Pivot intraday : 0,682–0,684 (EMA21 5–15min, VWAP, congestion)
Intermediate support: 0.679–0.681 (5min range bottom, VPVR valley)
Major Support: 0.670–0.672 (low volume node, old lows)
4. Trade management & risk management
Scaling-out :
At TP1 (50% of the position) → SL at breakeven.
Stay in trailing stop ATR 5min (~0.0025–0.003) or under new intermediate supports.
Invalidation of your trade:
Long invalidated: close 5min <0.678 → exit.
Short invalidated: close 5min >0.682 after break <0.679 → exit.
Risks to watch for: false breakouts, sudden announcements, and major Bitcoin moves. Adjust size or exit if news is extreme.
5. Psychological advice & interaction
Scalp Mentality: Stay disciplined: only enter if the confluence is clear (support + oversold indicator or confirmed break).
Trade Journal: Record each execution: price, rationale, emotion. Share your results in the comments for discussion.
Do you see an imminent bounce to 0.68 or are you worried about a break towards 0.66 this week? Comment below!
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, do your own research and manage your risk.