June 12 Global Market Sniper Battle, on the eve of the Federal Reserve's heavyweight report, UK GDP + US PPI dual core ignites the market! A must-see schedule for traders
Today's core focus
UK economic health report (14:00)
April three-month GDP monthly rate: If there are two consecutive months of negative growth, the pound may plunge 100 points
Manufacturing/Industrial output: Data < -0.5% will trigger expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England
2. US inflation second wave (20:30)
May PPI monthly rate: Previous value 0.5%, forecast 0.3%, exceeding expectations will strengthen the "higher for longer" policy
Initial jobless claims: > 230,000 indicates a cooling job market, which may suppress the dollar
3. Federal Reserve's nuclear weapon (next day 00:00)
Quarterly financial account report: Focus on the "household debt/GDP" ratio, if it exceeds 78%, it will trigger market panic
Special response in the crypto circle
1. UK data period (14:00-15:00)
Be alert to BTC's exchange rate fluctuations against the pound (UK traders account for 12%)
If GDP is weak, consider short-term long positions on the GBP/BTC trading pair
2. Before and after PPI release (20:00-21:30)
Conservatives: Close 80% of contract positions in advance
Aggressives: Open BTC/USD hedge position 5 minutes before the data (effective when volatility > 5%)
3. Federal Reserve report night battle (23:30-next day 1:00)
Key thresholds:
US Treasury yield exceeds 4.5% > Urgently sell altcoins
Federal Reserve hints at slowing balance sheet reduction > Go all-in to buy BTC
Black Swan warning
Scenario 1: UK GDP + industrial output both negative > Pound flash crash leads to Euro decline → Dollar strengthens passively → Crypto market under pressure
Scenario 2: PPI monthly rate > 0.7% → Federal Reserve's September rate hike probability surges > Risk assets plummet > BTC tests 100,000 support
Disciplinary rules to follow today
Reduce leverage to below 3 times in the 30 minutes before the data
Single stop loss not exceeding 2% of principal
This article is for market analysis only
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