$ETH

🔍 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

📈 Short-Term Momentum (24–48 h)

Strong bullish trend: Price is well above key EMAs (7, 25, 99) with MACD still positive, though slightly flattening .

Overbought risk: RSI sits over 70—signals potential pullback or consolidation .

Key levels:

Support: ~$2,667 (EMA7), ~$2,545 (EMA25)

Resistance: ~$2,834–2,850 (recent highs) .

📊 Medium-Term Outlook (1–4 weeks)

Bullish potential: If price sustains above EMA7/25, targets could reach $3,000–$3,200 .

Downside risk: Break below EMA25 (~$2,545) may lead to $2,300–$2,400 region .

Institutional driver: BlackRock’s heavy ETH accumulation ahead of a possible spot ETH ETF could fuel a breakout past $2,800–3,000 .

🕰️ Longer-Term Forecast (3–12 months)

Bull case: If spot ETF inflows arrive and institutional momentum holds, price could reach $3,200–$3,500 by Q3 2025, and possibly $5,000+ by end of 2025 .

Bear case: Weak macro environment, regulatory headwinds, or failure to break key resistance could drag ETH to $2,300 or lower

🎯 Sample Trade Plan

Scenario Entry Targets Stop Loss

Buy the dip $2,645–2,670 with RSI cooling $2,834 → $2,900 → $3,000 $2,640

Breakout buy Close above $2,834 with volume $2,900 → $3,200 ~$2,780

Aggressive long If ETF approval confirmed $3,200–3,500 (Q3 estimate) Below $2,300

Short/reject Rejection at $2,834+ & RSI>72 $2,667 → $2,545 support ~$2,860

⚠️ Risks & Caveats

1. Crypto volatility is extremely high—sudden swings aren’t uncommon

2. Overbought conditions: RSI above 70 increases pullback risks

3. Macro & regulatory factors: Interest rates, inflation, SEC stance, scalability issues can trigger sharp reversals

✅ Summary View

Short-term: Bullish trend but overbought—watch $2,834–2,850; dips may offer entries.

Mid-term: Break above $2,800–2,850 could lead to $3,200+. Failure may result in deeper corrective moves to $2,500–2,400

🛡️ Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.