#CryptoRoundTableRemarks đ„ | Why is BTC soaring while SUI is dragging its feet?
You see $BTC approaching historical highs, while $SUI stagnates or corrects? Itâs not a coincidence or just a 'late altseason': behind this divergence lie fundamentals and techniques that many prefer to ignore. Hereâs a diagnosis to share.
1ïžâŁ BTC vs SUI fundamentals: a glaring imbalance
Bitcoin: massive institutional adoption (over 126 companies accumulate ~819,000 BTC), spot ETFs, halving on the horizon, accommodative macro â the narrative of a store of value dominates and fuels a rally near $110,000.
SUI: promising technology (Move, high throughput) but heavy tokenomics (10 G max, 3.4 G in circulation, massive unlocks coming), recent exploit of DEX Cetus (~$223 M) and trust still fragile. Investors anticipate future selling pressure and remain cautious despite a recent bounce of 150%.
2ïžâŁ Expeditious comparative technique
BTC: multi-TF bullish structure, confirmed weekly/daily breakout, validated dynamic supports (EMA50/200), neutral-high weekly RSI, robust volume during upward phases. However, be cautious of a possible double top around 111â112K; a rejection below 108â109K could bring it back towards 100â105K.
SUI: attempt at weekly reversal (low around $1.7, high around ~$4.3) but no sustainable breakout. Neutral weekly RSI, daily RSI fallen below 50, bearish daily MACD crossed. Uncertain range structure: as long as $4 is not exceeded with volume, there is no bullish conviction. Key supports at $3.0â3.3, then $2.8.
3ïžâŁ Why this divergence? The real reasons
Market rotation and maturity: during a rally, capital first moves towards $BTC and then to proven altcaps like $SOL. Despite the initial excitement, $SUI suffers from its young ecosystem and a trust weakened by exploits and unlocks.
Tokenomics & selling pressure: $SUI undergoes regular dilutive unlocks, while $SOL has already absorbed its main unlock from March 2025. $BTC, by nature scarce and accumulated, attracts flows as a priority.
Visible catalysts: Bitcoin and Solana benefit from mainstream news (ETFs, partnerships, recognized innovations). $SUI's advancements remain too technical or overshadowed, and security incidents weigh on trust.
4ïžâŁ Provocateur: dare to prioritize $SOL over $SUI and temper your hopes for $SUI
Many fantasize about 'the next Solana', but forget that SUI still needs to prove it can absorb its unlocks without crashing, strengthen its security, and develop a visible ecosystem. Instead of hoping for a spontaneous pump, prioritize SOL if you want momentum in the short/medium term, and reserve SUI for an ultra-patient swing, only after a clear signal (daily breakout > $4 with volume).
5ïžâŁ Decisive recommendations
$BTC: stay alert around $108â110 K: plan entries on dips towards $105â108 K or confirmed breakout > $112 K.
$SOL: watch the retest of the daily EMA200 and the $170â180 zone; buy the dips at $150â160 to target $180â200.
$SUI: extreme patience: wait for a validated retest of > $4 with volume before allocating more than 5% of your portfolio. Accumulate gradually below $3 only if you are ready to hold for several months/years in case of absence of 'altseason'.
Arbitrage: if you must choose, lean towards SOL more often than SUI; raise the SUI allocation only when fundamental/technical conditions are confirmed.
Hodlers and swing traders: do you think SUI still deserves your capital against SOL in a redeployment phase?
â ïž This post guarantees no gains. Itâs a bold analysis to provoke thought and help you avoid being trapped by thoughtless optimism on SUI. Do your own research, test your setups in paper trade, and adjust according to your tolerance.
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