Author: Inna Golovacheva, a lunar analyst with a chart in one hand and incense in the other... dzzen.
Every four years, a ritual occurs, comparable to a solar eclipse in the crypto world - halving. Everyone freezes, the candles on the charts tremble, traders sniff the air and wonder: will there be growth or, as usual, will they flood, buy at the highs, and fall into depression?
But let's figure out what actually happens after halving? Is it all magic numbers, the economics of scarcity, or just a cult under the banner of 'BTC TO THE MOON'?
What is halving (in case you're not in the know)?
Halving is an automatic reduction in the reward for miners for a block in the Bitcoin network.
It was 50 BTC - now it's 25 - then 12.5 - then 6.25 - and now it's 3.125... the next one is in 2028, if we survive.
Each halving is like 'Black Friday' for BTC: fewer coins, more hype, the market moves.
📈 What do the charts say?
Here's what actually happened AFTER the last three halvings:
2012: a year later, BTC grew from $12 to $1000;
2016: growth from $650 to $20,000 in 1.5 years;
2020: the price was $9K, and a year and a half later, it reached $69,000 (then it crashed, of course).
The pattern is one:
📉 Before halving, there's gloom and flatness,
📈 after - a candle to the sky, like from SpaceX,
🔥 And then - a correction and life lessons for beginners.
Voilà.
🧘 By feng shui or by economics?
If you believe in the magic of numbers and the energy flows of Satoshi, then halving is the moment when the universe aligns for BTC's growth. But if you engage your brain a little, it's simpler: the emission (supply) decreases, demand stays the same or increases, and thus the price goes up. So far, no halving has happened 'in vain', but that's not a guarantee, it's a pattern.
💩 What could go wrong?
The market has already priced everything in advance.
Global crisis.
A new regulatory hammer.
Everyone has gone into Solana and meme coins. Or a Chinese person shows up with 100,000 BTC and clicks 'sell all'.
🎯 Historically, halving leads to growth, but not immediately and not guaranteed.
🧘 By feng shui - it's a sacred event that opens a portal to a new bullish dimension.
📉 In fact, if you buy at the highs after halving, you get not a moon, but a 'trader's grave' in the $30K zone.
Withdrawal without the stink:
Halving is not a panacea, but a phase in a cycle. Don't be the one who buys at the peak and then asks support how to convert emotions into fiat.
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