Post-80s Cryptocurrency Old Man: 10 Years From 100,000 to Tens of Millions, Relying Only on a Set of "Stupidest" Methods
I am 37 years old this year, from Hunan, with two houses, one for my family and one for myself. I have been trading cryptocurrencies for 10 years, turning 100,000 yuan into tens of millions, not by insider information or luck, but by a "stupid method".
The most awesome time, it increased 400 times in 4 months and earned 20 million.
Now I will tell you about these 3600 days of experience for free.
There is a stupidest way to trade cryptocurrencies, almost 100% profitable. I used this method to earn more than 20 million
Along the way, I have summarized 6 iron rules for cryptocurrency trading, and I will share them with you today, hoping to help you avoid detours!
Iron Rule One: Understand Market Sentiment, Volume is Key
- Volume increases but price does not fall: Volume increases but price does not fall, which may be a signal to stop falling.
- Volume increases but price does not rise: The trading volume increases but the price does not rise, the short-term may reach the top.
- The rise must continue to increase volume: During the rise, the trading volume needs to increase steadily. If the volume suddenly shrinks or there is a huge volume, the rise may end.
- Volume increases at key points of decline: When declining, the volume increases when key positions are broken, and the downward trend may continue.
Iron Rule Two: Key Points Determine Buying and Selling
- Resistance level, support level, trend line: When the price touches these points, act quickly!
- Golden Ratio: I use it to predict pressure and support, and the effect is very good.
Iron Rule Three: Multi-Time Window Staring at the Market
- 1-minute line: Find entry and exit opportunities.
- 3-minute line: Monitor the wave situation after entering the market.
- 30-minute/1-hour line: Judge the intraday trend changes.
Iron Rule Four: Don't Rush to Recover After a Stop Loss
- Stop Loss = End of Order: Every transaction is a new beginning, don't let the previous operations affect your mentality.
Iron Rule Five: Simple and Practical Position Management Method
- Three-position method:
1. When the currency price breaks through the 5-day moving average, buy the first portion;
2. Break through the 15-day moving average, buy the second portion;
3. Break through the 30-day moving average, buy the third portion.
- Strict stop loss: Break below the 5-day moving average, sell the first portion; break below the 15-day moving average, sell the second portion; break below the 30-day moving average, liquidate the position!
Iron Rule Six: There Must Be a Strategy for Shipping #BinanceAlpha New
- Break below the 5-day moving average at a high level: Sell one portion first and observe the subsequent trend.
- Break below the 15-day and 30-day moving averages: Sell all without hesitation!
Select Currency: Determine the cryptocurrency you want to trade, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), etc.
Position Management: Determine the quantity of your holdings, which should be based on your money management strategy and risk tolerance.
Trading Direction: Determine whether to go long (buy) or go short (sell), which needs to refer to market trends and technical analysis.
Entry Timing: Choosing the right entry point can be based on technical indicators, support levels, and resistance levels.
Stop Loss Strategy: Set a losing exit point to control risk. Usually set a stop loss below the entry price.
Take Profit Setting: Determine a profitable exit point to ensure gains. Generally, set a take profit level at the target price.
Emergency Countermeasures: Develop response strategies for unexpected events, such as major news or market volatility.
Review and Summarize: After the transaction, summarize, record logs, reflect on lessons learned, and adjust trading strategies. After the planning is completed, it is important to execute, be patient, and strictly abide by the trading rules.
Validated by 10 Years of Blood and Tears: 90% of the Technology Is a Trap, Only MACD Divergence Can Break the Deadlock of Human Nature
There is no Holy Grail in the cryptocurrency circle, only the breathing rhythm of survivors
"When you stare at the candlestick chart and fantasize about a hundredfold return, the banker is using MACD divergence to calculate your liquidation price."
In 2015, I entered the cryptocurrency circle with 500,000 yuan, and I would never have thought that 10 years later I would experience three liquidations, eight bankruptcy agreements, and even more so, I would not have discovered that all technical indicators are puppets of the dog dealer, and only MACD divergence is the sharp knife that pierces the lies of the market. Today, I want to tear open the fig leaf of the "get rich myth" and tell you with the MACD warfare technique cast in blood: in the cryptocurrency circle, the secret to survival is to learn to dance with the banker.
Three Major Nuclear Weapons of MACD: Divergence, Golden Cross, and Volume Strangulation
1. Divergence Hunting Technique: The DNA Code of the Banker's Washout
Top Divergence Trap: When BTC surged to 69,000 US dollars in 2021, the MACD energy column had been shrinking for 3 consecutive weeks, forming a textbook-level top divergence 7. At that time, I held a heavy leveraged long position, but decisively liquidated my position when the energy column contracted for the third time, avoiding the subsequent 58% plunge
Bottom Divergence Counter-Kill: After LUNA went to zero in 2023, the UST weekly line showed a MACD bottom divergence signal, coupled with on-chain giant whale 0x5f3 address accumulating for 3 consecutive weeks, successfully capturing the 2024 RWA narrative reversal market 4.
"On-chain mapping of Li Jiancang
First Golden Cross Trial: When PEPE first formed a daily line golden cross in April 2024, OKEx's hot wallet showed an abnormal movement of 20 million USDT, which is a signal that the dog dealer is testing market resistance 10.
Secondary Golden Cross Massacre: When the 30-minute line and the 4-hour line form a resonance golden cross, and the large amount of on-chain transfers exceeds the warning line, it is the real moment to charge
3. Volume Strangulation Formula: Death Cross of MACD + On-Chain Data
Energy Column Contraction Warning: When the price hits a new high but the height of the MACD red energy column is less than 70% of the previous peak, immediately start the "5-15-30 minute three-cycle stop loss strategy" 9.
Exchange Hot Wallet Monitoring: When the MACD golden cross occurs, if the USDT inflow of the Binance/OKEx hot wallet does not reach 3 times the average of the previous 24 hours, it is considered a false breakout signal
Eight Iron Rules Forged in Eight Years of Blood: Battlefield Code of MACD Warriors
① Three-Cycle Resonance Law
30-Minute Line Determines Direction: When the MACD golden cross occurs, the DIF line must break through the 0 axis and stand firm for 2 hours 9
4-Hour Line Determines Strength: The height of the energy column must reach 80% of the previous high, otherwise it is considered a weak rebound 7
Daily Line Locks Trend: When the weekly MACD is above the zero axis, any daily line death cross is a wash (verified during the BTC 48,000 to 52,000 US dollar volatility period in 2024) 10
② Divergence Stop Loss Formula
Top Divergence Nuclear Button: Price Makes New High + MACD Peak Lower Than Previous High + On-Chain Whale Address Net Outflow ＞ $5 Million, Immediately Start Stop Loss 4
Bottom Divergence Copying Ruler: Price Breaks Previous Low + MACD Energy Column Shrinking ＞ 60% + Exchange Contract Long-Short Ratio ＜ 0.7, Build Positions in Three Batches 7
③ Energy Column Offensive and Defensive Battle
Red Energy Column Explosion Point: Continuous 3 Shrinking Volumes Less Than 50% of the Previous Column Are Considered a Sign of Exhausted Bulls (Precursor to the 2025 DOGE 0.35 US Dollar Crash) 9
Green Energy Column Charge: The height of the first volume column breaks through 2 times the 30-day average, coupled with the soaring lending rate of the exchange, it is considered a prelude to a breakthrough 10
MACD and the Game of Human Nature: Cognitive Leap from 8 Million Liquidation to 600 Million
1. Emotional Firewall Construction Technique
Energy Column Meditation Training: Compare 10 sets of historical top and bottom divergence cases every day to cultivate muscle memory for false breakouts 3
On-chain data synchronous monitoring: When a MACD signal appears, you must verify the movements of whale addresses (see the end of the article for a free Nansen whale monitoring table) 4
2. Ultimate Formula for Position Control
MACD Golden Cross Launcher: First position no more than 5% of total capital, add 3% when breaking the previous high, add 2% when stepping back without breaking
Divergence Stop Loss Guillotine: Strict Control of Single Loss Within 2%, Immediately Stop for 24 Hours After 3 Consecutive Stop Losses 9
3. Periodic Law Cognitive Reconstruction
Bull-Bear Conversion Detector: Weekly MACD golden cross above the zero axis, confirming the main upward wave of the bull market (2025 AI+DePIN narrative launch signal) 7
Death Cross Warning: Monthly MACD high-level death cross + USDT market share ＜ 5%, immediately start bear market defense mode 10
The Captain's Ultimate Advice
"MACD is not a forecasting tool, but a thermometer of the main fund flow. When you learn to measure market sentiment with the height of the energy column and understand the dealer's cards with divergence signals, 600 million net worth is just a by-product of cognitive realization."
Blindly doing it alone will never bring opportunities, follow me, I will take you to explore ten times the potential currency! Top first-level resources!
This is the 10th year since entering the cryptocurrency circle. At the beginning, I lost everything, and there were profits and losses in the middle. Now I rely on the cryptocurrency circle to support my family. I have summarized some experiences and shared them with you, hoping to help you. As long as you do it, it is difficult to lose money. Short-term trading must-kill technique! 15-minute candlestick chart warfare, quickly harvest market fluctuations
In cryptocurrency trading, an ideal 15-minute trading strategy involves applying technical indicators such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), combined with robust risk management techniques. Effectively using these tools helps us find precise entry and exit points, which is especially critical for short-time frame trading styles.
Key to this strategy is executing strict stop-loss orders and adjusting position size based on current market volatility.
Key Components of a 15-Minute Trading Strategy
A successful 15-minute trading strategy depends on several key factors, including market conditions, precise technical indicators, clear entry and exit points, strict risk management measures, ideal trading times, rigorous backtesting, continuous market monitoring, and the efficiency of chosen indicators.
It is important to use relatively tight stop-loss and tailored take-profit levels. For example, a typical recommendation might be to set a 10-pip stop-loss combined with a 20-pip take-profit, which can effectively protect traders from significant financial losses while locking in potential gains.
Adjusting position size based on volatility and current market conditions can strengthen this protection framework, ensuring each trade is proportional to the assessed risk (2:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
Effective Technical Indicators for 15-Minute Trading
Due to their responsiveness and accuracy, several tools stand out for evaluating the effectiveness of technical indicators over 15-minute trading cycles. Moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide detailed information about market trends and volatility, making them highly valuable in short-term trading analysis.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), Parabolic SAR, and Average Directional Index (ADX) help identify potential reversal points and maintain market momentum, thereby enhancing your trading decisions.
Moving Averages
Using moving averages, especially the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, can simplify trend analysis and help identify market fluctuations on 15-minute trading charts. These short-term moving averages are often used when implementing momentum trading strategies, focusing on capturing rapid market movements triggered by currency pair volatility.
Moving average crossover techniques are a primary aspect of this approach, where the crossing of the 5-day moving average over the 10-day moving average indicates a potential buying opportunity, and vice versa for selling.
These moving averages also help traders identify support and resistance levels, which is crucial for trend-following strategies within this compressed timeframe. By understanding where these levels are, traders can better anticipate potential reversals or trend continuations, thereby improving the precision of their decision-making.
Combining Fibonacci retracements with moving averages provides another framework for price action analysis. Through this combination, traders can identify significant price points and adjust their strategies, ensuring they align with the micro-fluctuations and overall trends displayed in the 15-minute chart.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in 15-minute trading strategies. This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements and ranges in value from 0 to 100.
Typically, an RSI (Relative Strength Index) below 30 indicates an oversold condition, hinting at a potential buying opportunity, while a reading above 70 suggests an overbought situation, signaling a possible sell-off. Traders commonly use these thresholds to anticipate reversals as markets re-evaluate prices.
RSI also provides signals for trend confirmation. When the RSI aligns with the current price trend, it validates the existing momentum, enabling traders to strengthen their positions accordingly. For instance, in a bull market, an RSI above 50 supports the continuation of the uptrend. In a bear market or during price declines, an RSI below 50 can confirm the downtrend.
RSI divergence plays an important role in identifying changes in market dynamics. When the RSI diverges from the corresponding price movement—that is, the price makes a new high or low, but the RSI does not—this usually indicates a weakening trend, possibly foreshadowing a reversal.
This inconsistency between price and RSI can be a powerful signal to prompt re-evaluation of positions, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of short-term trading strategies.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands indicators can help traders assess market volatility and identify potential breakout points in 15-minute trading strategies. By placing price movements within a dynamic “envelope,” these indicators adjust based on recent price volatility, making them well-suited for the 15-minute timeframe, which requires quick decision-making.
◎ Bollinger Band Squeeze (Contraction): When the Bollinger Bands tighten around the price, it indicates reduced volatility, often foreshadowing a significant price movement. Traders watch for breakouts after the squeeze as a signal to enter trades.
◎ Breakouts and Reversals: Prices breaking through bands can signal impending reversals or trend continuations, which are crucial for swift gains on 15-minute charts.
◎ Bollinger Band Width: This indicator helps quantify market volatility. Narrowing width suggests potential squeezes, while widening suggests increased volatility.
◎ Touchpoints: Prices touching the lower or upper bands can act as key trading signals, indicating overbought or oversold conditions.
Each aspect above ensures that Bollinger Bands are part of an effective trading approach in short-term timeframes, especially during squeezes, and offer insights into market dynamics, especially during consolidation.
Parabolic Stop and Reverse (Parabolic SAR)
Another effective technical indicator applicable to 15-minute trading strategies is the Parabolic SAR (Parabolic Stop and Reverse), which excels at setting trailing stops and timing exits. This indicator is renowned for its ability to provide clear exit signals, enhancing the risk management techniques of short-term traders.
In analyzing Parabolic SAR strategies, backtesting results indicate that the indicator performs well in trending markets. Traders commonly use it to identify stop-loss levels, effectively protecting profits or preventing substantial losses. By adjusting the acceleration factor, traders can fine-tune the indicator’s sensitivity to align it with trading strategies.
When comparing the Parabolic SAR to other indicators, its effectiveness lies in its simplicity and straightforward visual presentation on charts. Unlike more complex indicators, Parabolic SAR provides direct, actionable information without extensive interpretation, which is crucial in the fast-paced 15-minute trading window.
Average Directional Index (ADX)
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is crucial for quantifying trend strength and identifying the current market trend. Traders rely on ADX to show the strength of a trend. The interpretation of ADX is important in various market conditions, providing a clear perspective on whether a trend is strengthening or weakening.
When trading within the 15-minute timeframe, ADX provides crucial information:
◎ Trend Confirmation: An ADX value above 25 indicates a strong trend, laying a reliable foundation for trend-following strategies. This level of trend strength is crucial for confirming potential entry signals.
◎ Detecting Trend Weakening: A decreasing ADX value indicates a weakening trend, alerting traders that market conditions may be changing or caution should be exercised.
◎ ADX Crossover: When the +DI (positive directional indicator) and -DI (negative directional indicator) cross, it may indicate a trend reversal, guiding traders when to exit or enter opposite positions.
◎ Filtering Market Noise: By distinguishing between trending and range-bound markets, ADX helps filter out trading setups with lower profit potential, focusing on those with a higher probability of success.
Stochastic Oscillator
Building on the Average Directional Index, the Stochastic Oscillator can also serve as a tool for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in 15-minute trading. This indicator is particularly suited for scalpers looking to capitalize on rapid market swings.
The Stochastic Oscillator involves two lines: %K, which measures the current price relative to the range of the highest and lowest prices over a specified period; and %D, which is a moving average of %K. When %K crosses above %D in the oversold territory (below 20), it typically signals a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, when %K crosses below %D in the overbought territory (above 80), it typically signals a sell signal.
The Stochastic Oscillator’s settings are adjustable; however, on the 15-minute chart, traders typically use a 14-period %K and a 3-period %D. These settings help smooth the indicator’s output, making signals clearer, especially in scalping where frequent price fluctuations can clutter signals.
Identifying divergences with the Stochastic Oscillator can improve trading accuracy. Divergence occurs when the price forms a new high or low, but the Stochastic Oscillator does not reflect this change, suggesting a potential reversal in price. Divergence can serve as a clue to indicate potential shifts in strength within price movements, which may not be immediately apparent from price action alone.
SuperTrend Indicator
In 15-minute trading, another crucial indicator is SuperTrend, which effectively identifies trend direction and sets ideal stop-loss levels. SuperTrend’s advantage lies in its simplicity and clarity, capable of precisely signaling bullish or bearish market sentiment.
SuperTrend incorporates price volatility and the Average True Range (ATR) factor to determine trend line positioning. This helps traders make informed decisions quickly based on current market conditions, especially suitable for short-term trading like 15-minute charts.
When configuring SuperTrend settings, traders often adjust the ATR multiplier and period to suit the volatility and price dynamics of the instrument being traded. Adjusting these settings is crucial for improving the indicator’s sensitivity to price fluctuations, thereby enhancing the accuracy of trend prediction and the effectiveness of stop-loss orders.
Determine Entry and Exit Points
Pinpointing precise entry and exit points on 15-minute forex charts involves utilizing technical indicators and chart patterns to swiftly capture short-term price movements. Traders must analyze multiple trading indicators and patterns to make well-informed decisions rapidly.
The following are important tools and concepts for determining entry and exit points:
◎ Candlestick Patterns: Use common 15-minute candlestick patterns, such as engulfing patterns, hammer lines, or shooting star lines. These patterns can indicate potential reversals or trend continuations, providing clear signals for entry or exit.
◎ Fibonacci Retracements: Apply Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential reversal points within short timeframes. These retracement levels often act as support or resistance, where prices may pause or reverse, making them valuable in fast-paced trading.
◎ Support and Resistance Levels: Strong support and resistance levels are crucial in 15-minute trading. They provide areas where the price may pause or reverse. Identifying these levels helps to formulate entry plans for breakout or bounce trades and to set precise stop-loss or take-profit points.
◎ RSI and Moving Averages: Combine RSI with moving averages (such as the crossing of the 5EMA and 20EMA) to confirm entry signals. RSI helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, while moving averages are used to determine trend direction and momentum, helping to execute trades in a timely manner.
Three Common 15-Minute Trading Strategies
Due to their effectiveness and adaptability, several strategies are widely used.
The 80s cryptocurrency circle seniors: From 100,000 to tens of millions in 10 years, relying only on a set of "dumbest" methods
Conversely, the breakout retest strategy and trading bull flags offer methods for identifying and capitalizing on patterns for potential gains within this short timeframe.
On Opening Range Breakout Strategy
The opening range breakout strategy takes advantage of the volatility of the first 15-minute candlestick of a currency pair after the London session opens, profiting by placing trades at its high and low.
By focusing on price action within this timeframe, traders can see potential directional trends based on the strength and market movement post-open.
◎ Visualize Candlesticks: The first 15-minute candlestick is crucial; its wicks represent potential breakout points.
◎ Market Entry: Traders place buy orders above the high of the candlestick and sell orders below its low, aiming to capture rapid fluctuations.
◎ Volatility Analysis: Assessing the size and shape of the opening candlestick can provide insights into early market sentiment and potential volatility.
◎ Trend Identification: Successful breakouts may confirm or establish trend direction, guiding subsequent trading decisions.
The opening range breakout forex strategy leverages candlestick pattern recognition for trading opportunities, ensuring that traders align with the market's initial momentum by observing price action and market volatility.
Breakout Retest Strategy
While the opening range breakout strategy takes advantage of early market volatility, the breakout and retest strategy focuses on capturing price movements after retesting key support or resistance levels. This currency trading method is based on the principle that once a key level is broken, the price is likely to test that level again before the trend continues.
Traders using this approach observe breakout patterns on higher time frames, such as 1-hour or 4-hour charts, to determine the relevant support or resistance levels for the currency pair.
Once these levels are identified, the strategy shifts to the 15-minute chart, focusing on retest bounces. The core of this strategy is to enter trades during these bounces, taking advantage of the frequent small fluctuations that occur when prices retest previously broken levels. This approach not only has
10 years of cryptocurrency trading, from 100,000 principal to 20 million, only used this trick, the winning rate is as high as 99%, suitable for everyone.
The method I am sharing with you today is actually very simple. Even if you are a novice in the cryptocurrency circle, as long as you strictly follow this method, you can easily make money.
First, we need to set the moving averages on the candlestick chart* to three: the 5-day moving average, the 15-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average. The 30-day moving average is the lifeline, a strong support or resistance. Then, we can buy or sell coins based on these three moving averages.
1. The currency selected must be in an upward trend. Of course, it is also possible to be in a consolidation, but it must not be selected if it is in a downward trend or the moving average opening is downward.
2. Divide the funds into three equal parts. When the currency price breaks through the 5-day moving average, buy 30% of the position with a light position, and then buy 30% when the currency price breaks through the 15-day moving average. Similarly, buy the last 30% when breaking through the 30-day moving average. This requirement must be strictly enforced.
3. If the currency price does not continue to break through the 15-day moving average after breaking through the 5-day moving average, but instead steps back, as long as the step back does not break the 5-day line +, maintain the original position without understanding and sell it if it breaks.
4. Similarly, if the currency price breaks through the 15-day moving average and does not continue to break upward, hold if it steps back and does not break the 15-day moving average, and sell three-tenths first if it breaks, and hold the three-tenths position of the 5-day moving average if it does not break the 5-day moving average.
5. When the currency price continues to break through the 30-day moving average and then steps back, sell it once according to the previous method.
6. Shipping is the opposite of this. When the currency price is at a high level, sell three-tenths first when it breaks the 5-day line, and hold the remaining six-tenths of the position if it does not continue to decline. If the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day lines all break, you must sell all of them and don't take chances.
This "foolproof" operation method, although simple, the most important thing is to have the ability to execute. After you buy in, the buying and selling system is formed, and you can only earn income by strictly following the trading discipline.
Playing around in the cryptocurrency circle is essentially a contest between retail investors and bankers. If you don't have cutting-edge news or first-hand information, you can only be cut off! If you want to make layouts together and harvest the bankers together, you can follow me!
Welcome like-minded people in the cryptocurrency circle to discuss together~
There is a saying that I strongly agree with: the boundary of knowledge determines the boundary of wealth, and people can only earn the wealth within the boundary of their knowledge.
The mentality of trading cryptocurrencies must be good. Don't let your blood pressure soar when it falls sharply, and don't be carried away when it rises sharply. It is important to take profits and secure them.
You might want to take a look at [the homepage], you will get the latest cryptocurrency intelligence and trading skills
Steadily working hard is an unbreakable way to survive for people who don't have too many resources.