Bitcoin’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is heading into oversold territory — a rare event that has historically marked major turning points in the crypto market. For traders and long-term investors, this is a signal worth paying attention to.
The RSI is a technical indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. When the RSI dips below 30 on a monthly chart, it suggests Bitcoin could be undervalued and ripe for a bounce back.
What History Tells Us
Looking back over the past 13 years, Bitcoin’s monthly RSI has only moved into oversold zones a handful of times. Each of those instances was followed by some of the strongest rallies of the cycle.
For example, during the bear market bottoms in 2015 and 2018, Bitcoin’s RSI dropped into this same zone. What followed were explosive bull runs that took BTC to new all-time highs. If history is any guide, the current RSI pattern could be laying the groundwork for another significant price recovery.
What This Means for Investors
While no indicator is foolproof, the RSI’s track record gives reason for cautious optimism. For those waiting on the sidelines, this could be a favorable window to study the market and plan entries. However, risk management remains key, as market conditions can shift rapidly.
Still, with the Bitcoin RSI in oversold territory, seasoned traders know that this moment has often preceded the “best time of the cycle.” Patience may pay off once again.