#加密市场反弹 #中美贸易谈判 6.11 Early Morning Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis ~ Bitcoin first rises then falls, can Ethereum remain strong?

Yesterday early morning Bitcoin touched the 110500 resistance and fell back under pressure, showing a tendency for slight oscillation and correction during the day. Currently, the price is operating above the mid-line on the daily chart, with the MA5, 10, and 30-day moving averages resonating upwards. The MACD is forming a golden cross with the fast and slow lines below the zero axis, and the KDJ three-line cross is slightly rising. Additionally, the TD indicator has reached an upward TD4. Overall, bullish sentiment is strong, but the only risk is the 2000-point gap between the current price and the MA5 daily moving average. It is expected that there will be a certain retraction space in the early morning to solidify the lower support before continuing to rise. The lower support reference is at the 107500 level; as long as the price doesn't break this support upon retracement, tomorrow's daily update will likely continue the TD5 upward trend.

After the 4-hour closing in the early morning, the MA5 daily moving average showed a slight downward trend, and the MACD and KDJ displayed retracement sentiment. However, the overall trend with the BOLL band and MA30 daily moving average still maintains a resonating upward structure, indicating that the major direction is still leaning towards an increase. Considering the hourly chart, there is currently a tendency for oscillation and adjustment, with short-term retracement sentiment. Therefore, the personal view for the early morning is that as long as the price does not break the lower support at 107500 upon retracement, the market will continue to rise in the latter half of the night and early morning. Thus, for the early morning operations, my personal view is to first go high then low.

Operational Strategy: Rebound at 109300-109800, Target: 108500-107500, Stop Loss: 110300

For going low, the reference points are: 107500-107000, Target: 109000-110000, Stop Loss: 106500

Ethereum has shown independent market movement today, and currently, Ethereum's overall trend is basically in sync with Bitcoin. The rise yesterday caused a significant gap between the price and the MA5 daily moving average. Although the short-term trend is relatively strong, Ethereum still faces retracement risks in the short term, with resistance at the high points referenced at: 2800-2860, and support at the low points referenced at: 2650. Therefore, for the early morning operations, my personal view is consistent with Bitcoin's strategy to first go high then low.

Operational Strategy: Rebound at 2765-2795, Target: 2700-2670, Stop Loss: 2815

For going low, the reference points are: 2680-2650, Target: 2750-2800, Stop Loss: 2620

As for the short-term trend, it is expected to be sufficient, and I will continue to follow up.