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The upcoming U.S.–China trade talks in London are likely to shape global markets this week, but the tone appears cautiously optimistic rather than decisively transformative. Traders have begun pricing in a “peace dividend,” with Asian stock markets rising and U.S. futures drifting modestly lower, reflecting anticipation more than conviction. Bitcoin has remained range-bound near $105k–$106k, displaying muted sensitivity—caught between optimism over reduced tariffs and concern about unresolved issues like tech export controls and rare‑earth material access. If talks yield concrete short-term wins—think export licensing or tariff pauses—risk assets and crypto may see a modest lift. But without tangible breakthroughs, uncertainty could resurface, possibly pushing Bitcoin back toward support around $100k. Overall, this week hinges on whether diplomatic dialogue translates into action—or merely reassurances.