$BTC

By mid-2025, the outlook for Bitcoin presents a mix of cautious optimism and potential volatility. Following the 2024 halving, the scheduled scarcity of new BTC emissions is expected to start exerting upward pressure on its price. While the initial euphoria of the halving may have dissipated, the fundamental basis of a decreasing supply versus potentially increasing demand remains strong.

Institutional adoption of Bitcoin, facilitated by spot Bitcoin ETFs and other investment products, would continue to mature. This means that more large investors and hedge funds would be gaining exposure to BTC, which could generate significant capital inflows. However, global regulation remains a key factor; any change in the regulatory stance of major economies could considerably influence market confidence.

From a macroeconomic perspective, the monetary policies of central banks, especially in the United States and Europe, will be decisive. If inflationary pressures persist or intensify, Bitcoin could be seen as a store of value or a hedge against the depreciation of fiat currencies, driving its demand. On the other hand, aggressive monetary tightening or a global economic recession could lead to sell-offs of risk assets, including BTC.

In July 2025, Bitcoin is likely to be in a phase of consolidation or slow appreciation, seeking to establish a new price range after any significant post-halving movement. Although spikes of volatility cannot be ruled out, the overall trend may lean towards gradual increases driven by scarcity and institutional adoption, as long as the global macroeconomic environment permits. The key will be the resilience of the network, the evolution of regulation, and Bitcoin's ability to solidify its position as a globally significant digital asset.