Ripple’s XRP is back in the spotlight as analysts predict a potential rally to $25 or higher—driven by surging optimism around the approval of a U.S.-based spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). But with bullish predictions come stark warnings: a dramatic price crash may follow.
According to data from prediction market Polymarket, odds of an XRP ETF approval in 2025 have soared to 98%, up from 68% just two months ago. The shift comes amid mounting pressure on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), with major players like Grayscale, Bitwise, and 21Shares submitting applications for spot XRP ETFs.
Institutional interest appears to be rising fast. CME Group’s launch of XRP futures ETFs in May saw $19 million in first-day volume, while Chinese firm Webus International recently filed to raise $300 million for XRP treasury holdings and Ripple payments integration.
Analysts, including Egrag Crypto and Jaydee_757, forecast XRP could reach between $20 and $27 should the ETF gain approval. Egrag’s “Guardian Arch” model and historical moving averages suggest a bull flag continuation could send prices to new highs. Jaydee draws comparisons to XRP’s explosive 2017 rally—when it surged 20x.
However, both analysts caution the parabolic rise could be short-lived. They warn of a potential 86–90% correction following a market peak, which would bring XRP back to around $3.
$XRP currently trades at $2.31, up nearly 10% from recent lows. If ETF approval materializes and momentum holds, 2025 could mark a breakout year for XRP—but not without extreme volatility.
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