$SUI — currently in an interesting position: between distribution and accumulation.
The price is stuck in a range where the market maker is playing simultaneously — some are being shaken out, others are being lured in.
1️⃣ Distribution (scenario #1):
Flat in the zone $1.9–2.8 (on 1TF)
Dump to $4 — without updating the high of $5
This movement was an artificial pump to enter retail
After which — loss of momentum and decrease in volumes on 1M TF
🧠 Conclusion: classic distribution after a flat.
2️⃣ Accumulation (scenario #2):
After the failure to move above $4.3 → drop to $2.8
Potentially — a new accumulation zone to test $5
Possible scenario: double top or the last pump before the dump
📌 There is a chance, but it is less likely without volumes
3️⃣Key level — $2.84
Its breakdown downwards will open the way to the zone $1.91–1.00
If they can't hold it — prepare for $0.50
❄️ Scenario "iceberg":
Retail entered above $3.5. If the drop continues to $0.50:
80–90% of holders will be in deep drawdown
Even DCA won't save most
But it is in these zones:
$0.5 → $2 = +250%
$0.5 → $4 = +640%
$0.5 → $6 = +1000%
Then as:
$1.9 → $4 = +120%
$1.9 → $6 = +220%
📌 Conclusion:
I wouldn't risk my entire deposit for a 100–200% gain
A deeper drop is possible. Ideal zones are still ahead.
Engage cold calculation and risk management.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
Always stick to your system and RM❗️
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